England – Slovenia Prediction & Preview and Betting Tips (05.10.2017)

Prediction for England – Slovenia

Over 2.5 goals @ 1.87

England and Slovenia are leveling at Wembley Stadium, in a match for this phase of the European Round (1st Round). The history of recent direct matches is favorable to the home team, which has 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 games. In this match the home factor can be decisive, since Slovenia presents considerable differences in their results at home and as a visitor.

England :

The home team is currently in 1st place, with 20 points conquered, after 6 wins and 2 draws. In the penultimate game, he won away against Malta by (0-4). In the last game, won at home against Slovakia by (2-1). This is a team little affected by the house factor, that is, presents similar results at home and abroad, since in the last 30 games he has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, with 28 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in his stadium, with 27 goals scored and 11 suffered. In their last 4 home games for the World Classification Europe, England has 4 wins.

For this competition, it registers a sequence of 4 victories in the last games at home and did not lose any of the last 8 parties. The defense has been strong and only suffered goals in 2 of the last 8 games, and his attack has marked regularly, since he scored goals in 7 of the last 8 matches for this competition. There is a tendency to have goals in their home games, as 13 of their last 14 matches have finished with over 1.5 goals. The team does not usually have problems opening the scoreboard: it marked the first goal in 6 of the last 8 matches for the World Classification Europe, of these 6 reached the rest in advantage in 3 and managed to maintain the advantage until the end of the 90 ‘in 5. There is 1 period in the last 14 home games for all competitions: he suffered 4 of his 11 goals in the minutes (76’-90 ‘).

England reach this ninth round of qualifying without losing a game, looking for another 3 points to guarantee direct access to the World Cup in Russia. The good campaign so far can be explained by the excellent balance between attack and defense, as it scored 16 goals, being the best attack of Group F, and suffered only 3 goals, having the most solid defense. It should be noted that his offensive system scored at least 2 goals in the last 5 matches played. Acting in its stadium, like the party of this Thursday, the England maintains the 100% of use, after 4 parties. It is important to underline that it is the team that scored the most and least suffered at home in their group, evidencing that it is a very difficult team to face when it has the support of its fans. For the clash with Slovenia, coach Gareth Southgate has several absences for injury, the main ones being those of midfielder Lallana and striker Vardy.

Slovenia :

The visiting team is currently in 3rd place with 14 points, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate game, lost out against Slovakia by (1-0). In the last game, won at home against Lithuania by (4-0). This is a stronger team with the support of his fans, since in the last 30 games he has 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses as a visitor; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in his stadium. In the last 4 games he played as a World Cup qualifier, Slovenia won 1, drew 1 and lost 2. In their home games there is a tendency for few goals, as 9 of their last 10 matches have ended with less of 2.5 gols. There are 2 periods in the last 10 games as a visitor for all competitions: he suffered 3 of his 8 goals between the minutes (76’-90 ‘) and 3 of his 8 between (31′-45’).

Slovenia come to this game thinking only of victory, as a draw is likely to leave the team out of the next World Cup, as Slovakia, second-placed, face Malta in the final day and will surely conquer the 3 points. The team is characterized by an imbalance between the offensive and defensive sectors, having scored only 10 goals, being the third worst attack of Group F, but, on the other hand, suffered only 4 goals, having the second most solid defense, which suffered only 1 goal in the last 3 games for the playoffs. The Slovenia team has only the fourth best campaign among the 6 participants of their group and scored only 3 goals in 4 games, once again showing the low quality of their offensive line, against the great difficulties to balance the networks. For the match against England, coach Katanec has no problems with injuries or suspensions and goes to the field with maximum strength, betting all his chips on midfielder Ilicic, the main star of his selection.