RB Leipzig and Napoli meet in Red Bull Arena, in a return match of this phase of the UEFA Europa League (16th Finals), after in the first leg the RB Leipzig won by (1-3). In this game the home factor may be decisive, since both teams present considerable differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.
After the win was by (1-3), the home team comes to this second leg with a 2-goal advantage. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last match they played, for the Bundesliga, they lost with Eintracht Frankfurt out by (2-1). In the last 10 home matches RB Leipzig has won 5, tied 2 and lost 3. Their defense has not been very strong, having suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 games, but their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches. In the last 4 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 3 of their 6 goals between minutes (61′-75 ‘).
Playing in Italy was never easy, but RB Leipzig broke the tradition and even playing in Italy managed to win by the result of 3-1 and won the tie in the tie. The Germans now have some peace of mind and they know that letting this qualification go is inadmissible, but even so they will respect the adversary and enter the field very focused, since they still have to play ninety minutes. To move forward in the competition, RB Leipzig can lose by a goal difference, draw or win.
After the defeat at home, the visiting team comes to this second leg with a dismay of 2 goals and with the difficult task of recovering this negative result as a visitor. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in away matches, with 27 goals scored and 12 conceded; against 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 16 suffered. In the last match they played, for Serie A, they beat SPAL at home (1-0). In the last 10 away matches Napoli has won 7, tied 1 and lost 2. Their offense has scored regularly, as they have always scored at least one goal in the last 10 games. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 34 of the last 50 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 5 times, but have come back in 3. In the last 17 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have suffered 5 of their 13 goals between the minutes (0’-15 ‘ ).
The fact that Naples is in a tough fight with Juventus for the Italian title may have influenced their home defeat in the first leg of the Champions League. Now only with a great exhibition in the tie can be qualified. It will be difficult to achieve that recovery, but not even everything is lost, because if you manage to present a quality football like the one presented in the Italian championship it is possible to surprise and conquer the necessary result.
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