Lugano – Plzen Prediction & Preview and Betting Tips (19.10.2017)


Lugano and Viktoria Plzeň are leveling up in swissporarena in a game for this phase of the UEFA Europa League (Group Stage). These two teams have never faced before, so this will be their first direct confrontation. In this match the home factor can be decisive, since the Lugano presents considerable differences in their results at home and as a visitor.


After 2 defeats, the home team reaches this third day in the Group G 4th place, without having won any points. On the previous day, they lost (1-2) at home to Steaua Bucureşti, after having lost (2-1) to Hapoel Be’er Sheva in the first leg of this group stage. This is a team that curiously has been stronger as a visitor than in their home games, since in the last 30 games has 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses as a visitor; against 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in his stadium. In the last game that disputed, for the Super League, lost with the Basel at home by (0-4). In his last 10 games at home, Lugano have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses. The team allowed goals to the opponent in 9 of the last 10 matches, reason why there are defensive processes that needs to improve. In their home games there is a tendency to have goals, as 15 of their last 22 matches have ended with over 2.5 goals. In 11 games, he never got the comeback in all 8 games in which he suffered the first goal. There is 1 period in the last 9 home matches for all competitions: he suffered 6 of his 17 goals in the minutes (76′-90 ‘).

The Lugano come to this unmotivated party, after losing at home against Basel, 0-4, adding the fifth snub followed in official matches. In the last match for the Europa League, the Swiss lost at home against Steaua Bucharest. In this game it is expected that coach Pierluigi Tami will act in the same way as the last game, that is, in 3-5-2, privileging the defensive organization and successive counterattacks by the flanks, exploring the best form the space in the back of the defense of the rival. Alexander Gerndt is Lugano’s top scorer with 2 goals scored. For this game the home coach can not count on Gozinovic and Guidotti, both injured.

Plzen :

After 1 victory, 0 draws and 1 loss, the visiting team reaches this 3rd day in the 2nd position of Group G, with 3 points conquered. On the previous day, they won at home against Hapoel Be’er Sheva by (3-1), after in the first match of this group phase to have lost by (3-0) out against Steaua Bucureşti. This is a team little affected by the house factor, that is, presents similar results at home and abroad, since in the last 30 games he has 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses as a visitor, with 30 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 11 wins and 4 defeats in his stadium, with 41 goals scored and 21 suffered. The team reaches this match after a win away with Sparta Praha by (0-1). In the last 10 matches played for all competitions, Viktoria Plzeň won 7, tied 2 and lost 1. The team conceded goals to the opponent in 3 of the last 4 matches for this competition, so they were not very strong defensively . In his games as a visitor there is a tendency for few goals, since 10 of his last 23 matches ended with Less than 1.5 goals and 14 in 23 finished with Less than 2.5 goals. In 15 games, he suffered the first goal 5 times, but he got the comeback in 3. There was 1 period in the last 9 games as a visitor for all competitions: he scored 4 of his 11 goals in the minutes (0’-15 ‘ ).

Viktoria Plzen reach this match with a win over Sparta Prague, 0-1, totaling the sixth consecutive victory in all competitions: the goal of the triumph was scored by Kolar. In this game at home coach Pavel Vrba must act in the usual 4-2-3-1, being Krmencik the most offensive reference of the visiting team. Note that the player mentioned above is the best scorer of the team, with 7 goals scored. Everything indicates that the coach can not count on Baranek and Limbersky, players recovering from injury.

© Andrey

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