Sevilla – Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Preview and Betting Tips (02.03.2017)

Prediction for Sevilla – Athletic Bilbao

HA more than 4.5 cards @ 1.70

Second pick of the weekday. He is going to the other party of Thursday that will face in the Sánchez Pizjuán to Seville and the Athletic Club of Bilbao. Here we go to more than 4.5 cards. It will be green in case of 5 yellow, 3 yellow + 1 red or 1 yellow + 2 red.

Sevilla

– In Sevilla, Lenglet will be injured due to injury and so will Nzonzi, Nico Pareja and Sarabia for accumulation of cards. Carlos Fernández is doubtful as well.

– In Athletic, Aduriz and Kepa are down for injury and Laporte will be doubtful as well.

We talk about the 2 teams:

– Sevilla: They come to solve one of the key events of the season despite losing. 1-2 at the home of the eternal rival and with real options to fight the league with Madrid and Barsa. They add 3 consecutive victories in addition to being the third better equipment of the league like local with 9 victories, 1 tie (0-0 against Villarreal) and 1 defeat (1-2 against the Barsa) and already they have gained to Real Madrid and Atletico .

What I really trust in this pick is that Sevilla is a very over-rated team. Sum of average 2,875 cards per game. If we compare it with the other teams of European positions we have that Real Madrid averages 1.95 cards, the Barsa barely exceeds 2 cards per game, Atleti averages 2.3 cards, Villarreal like Barsa and Real Sociedad is who more He gets about 2.5 cards per game. One of the reasons why I think they have put this line in 4.5 cards is the low of players who usually add cards like Pareja, Nzonzi or Sarabia but there are still others who usually add in this section. Mariano 7, Mercado and the “mute” Vázquez add 6 each, Rami, Iborra and Nasri total 5, Escudero and Vitolo add both 4. And they are players who are very likely to play this Thursday.

Athletic Bilbao

– Atletic: For me Bilbao is being one of the disappointments this season. They have an excellent team, yes, but this team has greatly reduced their performance when they have played away from home, in fact, they add 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses away from San Mamés. Right now they are 8º tied to points with the Eibar and without any other competition for which to fight they must leave for the party since the 6º (Villarreal) is to 1 only point.

On cards, Athletic is also quite over, averaging 2.62 cards per game being Raúl García the player who misses the most fouls of the league and the second most reprimanded with 10 cards (tied with Camacho del Málaga and Deyverson del Alaves and only for Behind the 14 cards Amorebieta receives). Unfortunately, Athletic’s second and third-ranked players are Aduriz (low) and Laporte (possibly also low). Behind them we find Beñat with 5 cards and Mikel Rico, San José and Williams that add 4 cards each.

In the last 4 matches between both this line has been exceeded:

– Europa League Quarter Result: Athletic 1-2 Sevilla (5 yellow)
– Europa League quarter-finals: Sevilla 1-2 Athletic (5 yellows, no overtime counts).
– Last matchday 15/16: Athletic 3-1 Sevilla (4 yellows and 3 reds)
– Matchday 6 Liga 16/17: Athletic 3-1 Sevilla (4 yellows and 1 red)

The referee is Daniel Ocon Arraiz, averages 5.27 yellow cards and 0.17 red cards per game. Has passed the line of 4.5 in the last 3 matches he has refereed.

– Matchday 20: Alavés 0-0 Atlético Madrid (5 yellow).
– Matchday 21: Malaga 0-1 Espanyol (5 yellow).
– Round 23: Granada 4-1 Betis (5 yellow and 2 red).

Seeing that the 2 teams are very over in cards, so that the Athletic is already playing from these days until the end of the league and that the referee lately exceeds the line we put Stake 1.5 to this quota. Good luck to whoever follows me.