Real Sociedad – Valencia PREDICTION (10.12.2016)

Match marked on the calendar for both teams.

With poor results, a touched and low Valencia arrives.

For its part, the Real Sociedad arrives with a good game but with a humiliating defeat before the Depor.

Both teams have not played European competitions, reason why, will be to 100% to dispute this party.

The Real Sociedad-Valencia are always very disputed and brutal games, where both teams play with great intensity.
Last year in Anoeta, we saw a total of 7 cards with Herández Hernández, the previous one was a total of 8 cards with Iglesias Villanueva, and the previous one, gave 6 admonitions with the referee who will call this encounter, Estrada Fernandez.

Valencia arrives with the casualties of Nani and Garay, and also, the doubts of Enzo Pérez and Mangala. Therefore, we will have Mario Suárez, Cancelo, Siqueira (who seems to enter as a starting player instead of Gayá) or Parejo, the players who share most in Valencia.
On the part of the Real Society, we would have Illarramendi, Iñigo Martínez, Raúl Navas or Yuri Berchiche, the players that more cards show them of the equipment.

On the other hand, the urgencies that come from Valencia will make us see a tense team, who protests everything and with much anger.
For their part, the Real Sociedad after the beating of Deportivo and playing at home, will show another face, and also leave with great intensity, cutting every action of danger of Valencia.

The referee of the match will be Estrada Fernández. A collegiate who is characterized to try to take out few cards if the party is not hard, but once it becomes tense and hard, usually draw enough.
It has an average of 5.9 cards per game, and this year, of 7 refereed matches has taken more than 5 cards in 3 occasions, remaining to a card in the other 4 games that did not exceed the line.
The previous year, he surpassed the line in 9 occasions of 20 parties, and the previous season also surpassed in 9 occasions of 19 parties.

We see as it is a referee who rarely passes the 6 or 7 cards, but that almost always is between 5 and 6 cards. This is why, its average rises to almost 6 cards.
So, if we see hard matches (as we should see for the urgencies of Valencia) should exceed the line of 5 cards without problems.

In addition, this collegiate has an average of 4.4 fouls per card and is in the fourth place of referees plus cardholders.

Valencia has an average of 2.6 cards per game, while the Real Sociedad has an average of 2.4, that average tends to rise against teams like Valencia.

The good thing is that both teams are top in fouls received, which tells us that they often receive enough fouls per game, an average of 15 fouls per game. Which, if we see how the referee is in this aspect, I think we should be around the 6-7 cards in the match.

So let’s try with stake 1.5.