Prediction for Las Palmas – Atletico Madrid
Win Las Palmas Asian Handicap +1 @ 1.69
Very good! We are going with a somewhat conservative bet but for my taste, quite sure and with a certain profitability seeing the circumstances and the variables of the encounter. If you convince us as simple you can always put it in a combo Let’s analyze!
Las Palmas
-) Las Palmas at home throughout the season has been a CAPITAL in capital letters. To give you an idea, if the league were only home games Las Palmas would occupy the 6th place.
Las Palmas at home has played 17 matches:
Won: 9
Drawn: 6
Lost: 2
-) Only with the victories and ties in the league and in the Gran Canaria stadium, with the handicap we would have given green in a probability of (15g, emp / 17part = 88,23% // quota = 1,133). Positive difference with respect to the odds offered by bookmakers of + € 0.55, is not bad.
-) If we see the two defeats of Las Palmas in Liga at home were:
Las Palmas 0 – 1 Real Sociedad
Las Palmas 0 – 1 Sevilla
Even with these two defeats at home, the +1 handicap would have returned the money by tying up the goal.
In short, with the Palms at home, and with the statistics in hand, the probability of losing the bet is 0%! (But as you well know zero risk does not exist and the Atm can put a 0-3 so wide: D I will not fool you)
Atletico Madrid
The ATM is supposed to go to win the match because Sevilla are pushing, but the reality is that only a few days later they have a Champions semis and they will not put all the necessary tension in front of Las Palmas.
On the other hand Las Palmas, at home they want to dismiss the season in a big way with their fans giving good results against the ATM and Barcelona, said by the president himself in the Jugos Chiringuito.
Remember: If Las Palmas tie or win, we win the bet. If you lose by a goal, the bet is returned.
Luck to whoever follows me!
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