Sport Rosario – FBC Melgar Prediction & Picks (06.06.2018)

Sport Rosario and Melgar face at Estadio Rosas Pampa, in a match for the 5th round of the First Division. The record of direct confrontations of the last 3 years is favorable to the home team, which in the last 4 matches won 1 and tied 3. The last direct match between these two teams, on 01-10-2017, ended with a draw by (2-2). Attention to the home factor, since the Sport Rosario usually conquers different results at home and abroad.

Sport Rosario:

After 7 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses, the home team is currently in the 9 th position of the league, with 4 points won. In their last match, they tied with Comerciantes Unidos out by (0-0), after in the previous match they lost by (4-0), in a match against Deportivo Municipal. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 31 conceded; against 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 9 conceded. In the last 8 home league matches Sport Rosario has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 17 points out of 24 possible.

In this competition, they have won the last 4 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (4 out of 8 matches). The team allowed goals to the opponent in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition, so it has not been very strong defensively. In 17 matches in this tournament, they suffered the first goal 8 times and never got the comeback.

The Apertura has already started and the objective of the Sport Rosario is well defined: to make a positive campaign. Therefore, he expects to have regularity in his actions and results. In this round he will face a complicated opponent and for that he needs to have more attention than usual, since being surprised is something he does not want. Therefore, he expects to show a good performance during the ninety minutes, marking strong when necessary and having efficiency when attacking, because in this way he will be able to obtain a favorable score. For this match the coach Fernando Nogara must take to the field what he has of better available.

Melgar:

The away team is currently in the 1 st position of the league, with 10 points won, after 9 wins, 8 draws and 1 loss. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Sport Huancayo, by (0-2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Deportivo Binacional, by (2-1). This is a team that has similar results in home and away matches, so it is not usually affected by the home factor, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins and 10 draws as a visitor; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses at their stadium.

For this competition, they have not lost any of the last 9 away matches. In the matches that he played as a visitor for the championship there is a score that is often repeated at the end of the 90 ‘, the 1-1, which happened in 4 of his 9 games. The team has conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, so it has not presented great defensive solidity, but its attack has scored regularly, as it has always scored at least one goal in the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 6 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 18 matches in this competition, they only won 1 comeback in 6 matches in which they conceded the first goal.

To each day the Melgar continues showing that it has capacity to obtain something of positive and will fight by the title of the Opening, reason why it wants to add points in the maximum of possible games. That being the case, he pretends to play very well and to be efficient, because that way he runs less risks of scoring goals and will increase the chances of scoring. In this way, maintaining a good game pattern, the probability of achieving good results will increase considerably and is behind that going. For this game the coach Enrique Meza Jr. should take to the field what is best available.