Sport Recife – Atletico-MG Prediction & Picks (30.05.2018)

Sport Recife and Atlético Mineiro meet at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, in a match for the 8th round of Serie A. The history of direct matches played in this stadium is favorable to the home team, which in the last 3 matches won 1 and tied 2. But the last time these two teams played a match at this stadium, on 10-15-2017, for Serie A, the two teams tied for (1-1). Patrick (10 ‘) scored the goals of the game, for Sport Recife, and Fred (38’), for Atlético Mineiro. Attention to the house factor, since the Sport Recife usually conquer different results at home and abroad.

Sport Recife:

The home team is currently in the 6 th position of the league, with 11 points won, after 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Corinthians, by (1-1). In the last match, they won in an away match against Palmeiras, by (2-3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 8 conceded. In the last 10 home matches for all competitions, Sport Recife has won 6, tied 3 and lost 1. Defensive consistency has not been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 6 of the last 7 matches, but their offense has scored regularly, as they have scored goals in 5 of the last 7 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they suffered the first goal 5 times and only managed 1 comeback. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 12 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 4 of their 6 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).

Sport is a Pernambuco club that has already won the Brazilian Championship Series A once throughout its history, in 1987, although that title is involved in a lot of controversy with rival Flamengo. In the Pernambuco championship this year, the team was in third place, beating El Sauce by 3×0 in its stadium. In the Serie A of the Brazilian championship of 2018, the team has been struggling to stay in the top positions, currently three points behind the leader, Flamengo. In the last five games they played in their stadium, they all scored more than 1.5 goals. We believe that in this match the boss will be maintained, since the Sport will need to risk in the attack against Atlético Mineiro, to conquer an important victory.

Atlético Mineiro:

After 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, the away team is currently in the 3 rd position, with 13 points won. In the last match, they lost in a home match against Flamengo, by (0-1), after in the previous match they won at home, against Cruzeiro, by (1-0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 12 conceded; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 18 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Atlético Mineiro has won 4, tied 2 and lost 4. Defensive consistency has not been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 5 of the last 7 matches. their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 6 of the last 7 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they suffered the first goal 6 times and only managed 1 comeback.

Atlético Mineiro was already the Brazilian Serie A champion in 1971 and was already a five-time Brazilian runner-up in Serie A. Currently, in the 2018 season, the visiting team did not do well in the mining championship, but in the Brazilian championship of the Serie A is in a good moment, despite having lost in the last game at home against Flamengo, by 0x1, so it is among the top four classified. When analyzing the games that Atletico Minero played away from home, we see that in three games as a visitor scored and suffered goals, in addition to having lost a game, tied another and won another, in all three games there was more than 2.5 goals, so, we believe that once again Atlético Mineiro will look for an offensively intense game away from home and with goals.