Palmeiras – Atletico-MG Prediction & Picks (22.07.2018)

Palmeiras

Palmeiras – Atletico-MG FREE PICKS

Palmeiras and Atlético Mineiro meet at Allianz Parque, in a match for the 14th round of Serie A. The record of direct confrontations in this stadium is favorable to the visiting team, which in the last 3 matches won 1 and tied 2. but the The last time these teams met at this stadium was on 04-06-2017, in Serie A, they ended in a draw for (0-0). Particular attention is required for the home / away condition, since both teams present significantly different results at home and abroad.

Palmeiras:

The home team is currently in the 7 th position of the league, with 20 points won, after 5 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Flamengo, by (1-1). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Santos, by (1-1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 27 goals scored and 9 conceded; against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 12 conceded. In the last 6 home league matches Palmeiras has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 11 points out of 18 possible. They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. The team usually has no problem opening the scoring: it marked the first goal in 10 of the last 13 games for Serie A, of these 10 came to the break in advantage in 7 and managed to maintain the advantage until the end of the 90 ‘in 5 .

After the break for the World Cup, Palmeiras did not achieve the desired result, after tying again for the Brazilian championship in their last game in the Paulista classic. On the other hand, does not lose five consecutive days. As he will act before his fans, it is important to analyze his performance in these conditions. In six matches he suffered only one defeat, plus two draws and three wins. In addition to being a difficult team to overcome in this context, it also demonstrates efficient sectors, scoring on average 1.67 goals and suffering 0.83 goals per match. In this round the coach Roger Machado should opt for the 4-2-3-1, with the aim of defending well and attacking with precision, looking also for the most offensive reference, forward Willian, the main finalist of this team, with seven goals scored in total.

Atlético Mineiro:

The away team is currently in the 3 rd position, with 23 points won, after 7 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Ceará, by (2-1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Grêmio, by (2-0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 11 conceded. In the last 6 away league matches Atlético Mineiro has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 18 possible. They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 13 matches in this competition, they suffered the first goal 8 times, but got the comeback in 3.

Despite coming from a defeat for the Brazilian championship, Atletico-MG is among the first classified, being at the moment only five points behind the leader Flamengo. As he will act outside the home, we will observe the performance of the team in these conditions. In six matches played for the championship he triumphed only twice, in addition to a draw and many losses, three in total. In these conditions has shown offensive efficiency, it scored on average 1.67 goals, however, its defensive sector has left a lot of space, it suffered on average 1.83 goals per match. In this round the technician Thiago Largi must opt ​​for the same tactical system of his adversary, that is, the 4-2-3-1. We highlight striker Ricardo Oliveira, the team’s greatest offensive reference, with six goals and three assists.


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