Kerkyra – Panathinaikos PREDICTION & PREVIEW (22.01.2017)

Under (-) 2.5 goals

We are going to Greece to look for an under 2.5 goals. For those who do not follow the Greek league will think that Panathinaikos sounds strong, is a team with name and that should be favorite, and so, but contextualicemos:

Kerkyra is a newly promoted team, but as I always say, if you just ascend is because the previous year you did very well. They have an incorporation of this season that despite to take only 4 goals is its maximum gunner. This is Thuram, a young Brazilian who had campaigned for Chapecoense campaigns for three years and made 3 bags in Cyprus to help the Greek team.

The average number of goals in the Greek league is quite low, to the point that there has only been over2.5 in 53 of the 123 games played this season, which equals 43.09%.

If we focus on the teams that play the game, we see that average goes down even more.

Kerkyra have played 15 games and in only 4 of them were 3 or more goals scored. That figure falls when we talk about the matches played in a local condition, where only in 1 of 8 matches the line was exceeded (12.5%).

Panathinaikos has also played 15 matches and only 5 have scored 3 or more goals. In this case the figure is also low if we focus on their outputs, reaching the line in only 2 of 8 games (25%).

These percentages give us an equivalent environment quota at @ 1.23-1.25 so I think it has a lot of value, even if it does or does not.

In short, the quota is badly put and you have to take advantage, because it is sure to come down.