Gremio – Vasco Prediction & Picks (13.07.2019)

soccer-predictions

Gremio – Vasco SOCCER PICKS

Grêmio and Vasco da Gama meet forces in Arena do Grêmio, in a match for the 10th round of Serie A. The history of direct matches played in this stadium is favorable to the home team, who won 3 in the last 3 matches. Indeed, the last time these two teams played a match in this stadium, on 11-11-2018, for Serie A, Grêmio won by (2-1). Jael (20 ‘) and Matheus Henrique (90’) scored the goals of the match, for Grêmio, and Thiago Galhardo (12 ‘), for Vasco da Gama. The condition home / away deserves particular attention, because despite this being a match between 11 th and th of the league table, it is actually a match between the 15 th best team in home matches and the 18 th best in away matches.

Grêmio:

After 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, the home team is currently in the 11 th position, with 11 points won. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Botafogo by (0-1), after in the previous match they have won (1-0) at home, against Fortaleza. This is a team little affected by the home factor, that is, usually conquer as many points at home as outside. In his last games he scored 7 goals and suffered 7 at home, against 3 scored and 4 suffered as a visitor. In the last match they played for the Copa do Brasil, they tied with Bahia at home (1-1). In the last 4 home matches for the championship Grêmio won 2 and lost 2, so they won 6 points out of 12 possible. Their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 9 matches for this competition.

Grêmio is campaigning less than expected in Serie A, but he is recovering, as he has won his last 2 games, has 3 wins in the last four rounds and is looking for another 3 points to keep climbing places in the standings. The team needs to improve, both in the offensive and in the defensive sector, having scored 10 goals in 9 games, being the tenth best attack of the national championship, and suffered 11 goals, having the eighth weakest defense, although it has improved defensively, so much that he did not suffer goals in 3 of the last 4 matches, something that was already expected, due to the enormous quality of his center-backs. Playing at home, as in this Saturday’s game, Grêmio lost the first two games in 4 games, but comes from 2 consecutive victories, in which he has not suffered goals, being a historically very strong team against his fans. For the game against Vasco da Gama, coach Renato Gaúcho will not be able to count on midfielder Michel, due to injury.

Vasco da Gama:

After 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, the away team is currently in the ª position, without having won any points. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Internacional, by (2-1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Ceará, by (1-0). This is a team little affected by the house factor, since it conquered similar results at home and abroad. The team comes to this match after a home win against Atletico GO by (1-0). For the league, Vasco da Gama won 1 point out of 12 possible points, after 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 4 matches they played as visitors.

For this competition, they have not won any of the last 4 away matches. They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 9 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 9 matches for this competition. In 9 matches in this tournament, they suffered the first goal 5 times and never got the comeback.

Vasco da Gama is campaigning well below expectations in Serie A, but has shown the ability to improve, as it comes from 2 wins and is looking for another victory to try to get away from the relegation zone. The team has serious problems, both in the offensive and the defensive sector, with only 8 goals in 9 rounds, being the fourth worst attack of the competition, and suffered 14 goals, so it has the fourth weakest defense, being a team that creates scoring opportunities, but has huge deficiencies in the completion and still leaves many spaces behind. Playing away from home, like Saturday’s game, Vasco da Gama has not yet won in the Brazilian Championship, accumulating 3 losses and 1 draw, and has an average of more than 2 goals suffered per game in this type of situation, showing again their defensive problems, especially away from their domains. For the match against Grêmio, coach Vanderlei Luxemburgo has no problems in the team considered as a starter and goes to the field with maximum strength.


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