Gimnasia L.P. – Atl. Tucuman Prediction & Picks (13.04.2018)

Gimnasia La Plata and Atlético Tucumán face at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, in a match for the 23rd round of the Primera División. In the last 3 years there is only record of 2 direct confrontations between these two teams: one to 17-01-2018, which ended in a victory of Atlético Tucumán by (3-1), and another more recent on 01-04-2017 , which ended in a victory of La Plata Gymnastics by (0-1). Particular attention is required for the home / away condition, since both teams present significantly different results at home and abroad.

Gimnasia L.P. :

The home team is currently in the 22 th position of the league, with 22 points won, after 6 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Argentinos Juniors, by (1-3). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Tigre by (2-0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 10 goals scored and 26 conceded; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last 10 home matches for the championship, Gimnasia La Plata won 5, tied 1 and lost 4, for which they won 16 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (5 out of 10 matches). The team allowed goals to the opponent in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition, so it has not been very strong defensively. In 22 games in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 11 times and never got the comeback. In the last 10 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (46′-60 ‘).

The Gymnastics and Fencing never conquered the title of the Argentine championship, managed at most four times to be the runner-up, the last one in the 2004/05 Apertura. In the current season the team occupies the twenty-second position and struggles not to fall further in the qualifying table. The current moment of gymnastics is very bad: five games without victory. In addition, the team only managed to win by more than one goal more than ten rounds ago. This shows all the fragility of the team, which creates few chances of finishing, has difficulties in defending counterattacks, its defenses show enormous difficulty to fight more skillful players, resulting in many defensive weaknesses. Putting together all these problems, the Gymnastics will hardly be able to win by more than 1 goal of difference to Tucumán.

Atlético Tucumán:

The away team is currently in the 16 th position of the league, with 30 points won, after 7 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Independiente, by (0-2). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Newell’s Old Boys, by (1-1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 8 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Atlético Tucumán has 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (5 out of 10 matches). Their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 22 matches in this competition, he never got the comeback in the 8 games in which he suffered the first goal. In the last 10 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (76’-90 ‘).

Atlético Tucumán also never won the title of the Argentine championship, but recently was the champion of the First National B, in 2015, which guaranteed access to the elite of Argentine football. Atlético Tucumán has been three games unbeaten in the Argentine championship and has always scored goals in the last four rounds. In all the games that Atlético Tucumán played in the home of the Gymnastics, never lost by more than 1 goal difference, so most likely that will not happen. The goal hope of Atlético Tucumán is at the feet of Argentine striker Luis Rodríguez, who already has 6 goals in the competition. So, we believe that Atlético Tucumán has all the conditions to make a good game and will hardly lose by more than one goal difference.