Fleetwood Town – Bristol City PREDICTION & PREVIEW (17.01.2017)

Over (+) 1.5 (second time)

Good to all, I’m going with my 6th pick of the month, this time in the FA Cup in a match between Fleetwood Town and Bristol City.

It is a very risky bet, but there are my reasons:

– To start is a cup, and a goal in the first half would open the game a lot, which would create many more chances in the second half, with opportunities for the team that is winning the against and the one that is forced to score If you want to tie the game.

– Already in 2014 they faced in league, with very similar quotas and with a result of 3-3, scoring in the second half 4 goals. Obviously this is just a fact, not for this I go with the forecast, but we already know something about their previous confrontations.

– In the Fleetwood field of the last 10 matches, 6 of them scored 2 goals or more in the second half against Bristol Rovers, Shrewsbury, Walsall, Shewsbury, Chesterfield and Gillingham.

– In the league, Fleetwood has an average of 2.7 goals per game in their field, which would give us enough options to get both goals in the second half.

– On the other hand, Bristol City, who is favorite to qualify, does not have a good streak of games as a visitor, since since October 14 does not win outside his stadium.

– Of the last 10 meetings as a visitor, in 5 of them have scored 2 or more goals in the second half. Against Ipswich, Wolves, Barnsley, Cardiff and Fulham.

– Bristol City is the 4th team that most Overs has achieved in the season, with an average of 2.8 goals per game. As a visitor the average ascends favorably for us to 3.1 goals per game.

That’s it, I expect a game of goals, with an Over that would bring us closer to the green. The best thing that can happen is, as I said before, that in the first part the marker is opened and force one of them to attack, creating spaces in the defenses.