Prediction for D. Zagreb – Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb and less than 4.5 goals @ 1.80
Day 28 of the First Division of Croatia. Already finally the quotas of this league (with too much value for this match, if I ask) and I choose the victory of the local team without reaching the 5 goals for the following reasons:
– Dinamo Zagreb is the champion of Croatia champions, has been running the competition since 2005, 11 consecutive league titles say and much. Now they are for the first time in 12 years in the possibility of losing the title. The Rijeka takes advantage of 4 points, and with few days to play, you can not miss a single point. While their rival Hajduk Split virtually won their place by fighting for a chance to participate in the Europa League, they have an advantage of 18 points of their closest rival, they would have to lose the 8 remaining matches, and that the other team Win 7 of those 8 remaining games. So what is most intelligent at the moment for the Hajduk Split is to focus all his mood to defeat rivals much more accessible, the mood for this game to win or die is for the Dinamo Zagreb, team with much more quality of play , While the “win-win” factor of this match is not the same for visitors, as they have practically their place in the table insured. The fee to win from the I think very exaggerated, and I think that before the start of the match should drop considerably.
– The amount of goals, I do not think that is a problem, a result 4: 0, 3: 1 perfectly covers this line. The Croatian First Division is a very under league, since their matches in global (taking into account all the parties) are averaging 2.38 goals per match. Now with Dinamo Zagreb, although one of the favorites to win the league, is a team with few goals per game, since at home has an average of 2.29. In fact it is the third most under team in the league. It is also the best defense in the league, they have the best record of conceded goals, in their 14 home games nobody has been able to score 2 or more goals, and the most interesting thing is that he has never crossed the line of 4, 5 goals. Now talking about Hajduk Split, is a team even more under than his rival (playing visitor) as he does not even reach the 2 goals on average per game. They also have an excellent defense, since they average only 0.79 goals conceded (the third best defense, only behind the leaders of the league) here also the most interesting thing is that they have never been able to reach the 5 goals in some game outside the house.
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