Consolat – Paris FC Prediction & Preview and Betting Tips (10.02.2017)

Prediction for Consolat – Paris FC

Under (-) 0.5 (first time) @ 2.38

This match is part of my study / experiment on the likelihood of a collision ending 0-0 at break. I recommend reading my other forecasts and especially the At. Madrid vs Celta for more information.

Consolat

This time we are going to bet on Paris FC, a team that already gave us a green last month and hopefully we will continue giving other many greener. Recall that the Paris FC is a machine to tie at half-time, having done so in 90% of the shocks played as a local and 60% of the shocks playing as a visitor. Only the Chambly Thelle have similar numbers having tied without goals in the 87,5% of the premises and in the 70% of the visitors.

In any case, on this day 21 plays against Marseille Consolat a team also given to under, let’s see in statistics:

– Marseille Consolat has tied 0 to rest 8 games out of 19, that’s 42.10% of the games this season, while there have been goals in 57.9%.
-The Marseille Consolat playing as a local has tied 0 to rest 5 games of the 9 played, that’s 55.55% of the matches, while there have been goals in the other 45.55% of the matches.

Paris FC

Paris FC, meanwhile, have tied 0 to 15 15 matches, that’s 75% of the games they have played this season, while there has been at least one goal in the 25%.
-The Paris FC, playing as a visitor has tied 0 to the rest 6 games of the 10 played, that’s 60% of the matches while there has been at least one goal in 40% of the matches.

If we add the odds of over and divide them by four we get a probability of 58.17% over and 41.83% under.

With these numbers they would have to give us an over share of 2.39 and under 1.72. Instead the betting houses are paying us 1.50 over and 2.50 under. I consider it a bet with a lot of value and I bet it on WilliamHill.