Prediction for Atl. Rafaela – Quilmes
Atl. Rafaela to win @ 1.60
Atletico Rafaela and Quilmes meet at Estadio Nuevo Monumental, in a match for the 28th day of the First Division. In this stadium, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the visiting team, which has 1 win and 2 draws in the last 3 games. In fact, the last time these two teams disputed a game in this stage was in 08-09-2015, for the First Division, that finished with the victory of the Quilmes by (2-4). The goals of the match were scored by L. Kruspzky (65 ‘) and G. Morales (81’), for Atlético Rafaela and C. Bieler (14 ‘and 71’) and A. Canelo (60 ‘and 66’ For the Quilmes. In this match the house factor can be decisive, since the Quilmes presents considerable differences in their results at home and as a visitor.
After 10 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses, the home team is currently in 16th place with 36 points earned. In his last game, he won the Godoy Cruz out for (0-2), after in the previous game to have lost by (1-2) at home, in a match against Belgrano. This is a team little affected by the house factor, that is, presents similar results at home and abroad, since in the last 30 games has 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses as a visitor, with 14 goals scored and 18 suffered; Against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats in his stadium, with 18 goals scored and 13 suffered. The team arrives at this match after a victory at home with the Almagro by (1-0). For the championship, Atletico Rafaela won 12 points in 30 chances, after 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 games played in his stadium. In their games for the league at home the most frequent final result to the rest was the 0-0 (5 in 13 parties). His attack has marked regularly, since he scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home games there is a tendency to have few goals, as 6 of their last 13 games for this competition have ended with less than 1.5 goals. In 27 matches in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 11 times and never got the comeback. There is 1 period in the last 13 home games for this competition: he suffered 4 of his 11 goals in the minutes (31′-45 ‘).
Atletico’s Rafaela campaign in the Argentine championship is not good and proof of it is that it is in the last places, being that if you want to at least improve your score it is essential that you win. Against the Quilmes, who crosses a better moment so that his, knows that he should not find facilities, so if you want a good result you will need to play very well and without errors. For this match the coach Juan Manuel Llop should not have absences due to injury or expulsion.
The visiting team is currently in 29th place with 23 points, after 6 wins, 5 draws and 16 losses. In the penultimate game, tied outside Vélez Sarsfield by (0-0). In the last game, he lost at home against the Patronato by (0-1). This is a stronger team with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 matches they have 5 draws and 10 losses as a visitor; Against 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats in his stadium. In his last 10 games as a visitor to the championship the Quilmes record 2 draws and 8 losses, reason why it conquered 2 points in 30 possible.
For this competition, he did not win any of the last 13 away games. In their games for the league at home the most frequent final result to the rest was the 0-0 (6 in 13 parties). His defense has not been very solid, having conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 games, and his attack has not been very effective, as he did not score goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 27 matches in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 15 times and never got the comeback. In the last 13 home games for this competition there is 1 period highlighted: he suffered 11 of his 25 goals in the minutes (76′-90 ‘).
The Quilmes are making a medium to low campaign in the national championship and know that it can evolve more, reason why, for that to happen, it is important that conquer some points, even outside of house. Against Atletico Rafaela knows that he has good conditions to obtain a positive result, since the moment lived by the rival is worse than his, reason why he hopes to play well to leave the field with at least one tie, but knows that a victory Can also occur. For this match coach Alfredo Grelak can not count on F. Coria, who will serve a suspension.
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