Atalanta – Fiorentina Prediction & Picks (25.04.2019)


Atalanta – Fiorentina SOCCER PICKS

Atalanta and Fiorentina measured at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d’Italia, in a return match of this phase of the Coppa Italia (Semi-finals), after the draw by (3-3) in the first leg. In this stadium, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the visiting team, which records 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. However, the last time these two teams played a match at this stadium was on 03-03-2019, for Serie A, which ended with Atalanta’s victory by (3-1). The goals of the match were scored by J. Iličić (28 ‘), A. Gómez (34’) and R. Gosens (59 ‘), for Atalanta, and L. Muriel (3’), for Fiorentina. In this match the home factor may be decisive, since both teams present considerable differences in the results obtained at home and as a visitor.


The home team comes to this match back in advantage, after the draw was by (3-3) in the first leg, so a draw may be enough to get the qualification. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. The team comes to this match after a win away with Napoli by (1-2). In the last 10 home matches Atalanta has won 5, tied 4 and lost 1. Defensive consistency has not been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored with regularity, as he scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 19 of the last 28 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times, but have come back in 4. In the last 12 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have suffered 5 of their 14 goals between the minutes (0′-15 ‘ ).

The Atalanta comes to this game with a victory, 1-2, in the move to the land of Naples, thus adding the ninth official match without tasting the bitter taste of defeat. We remember that the locals got a 3-3 draw in the first leg of the semifinal of the Italian Cup. In this game against Fiorentina, coach Gian Piero Gasperini must keep the team in 3-5-2, benefiting the maintenance of ball possession and slow attacks: Mario Pasalic is the main responsible for organizing and creating the offensive process . On the other hand, Duván Zapata is the great highlight of the Atalanta so far, with 21 goals. Rafael Toloi and Marco Varnier will be absent due to injury.


The away team comes to this second leg at a disadvantage, because despite the draw in the first leg suffered 3 goals at home. This is a team that, oddly enough, was better outside than at home, as in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. In the last match they played, for Serie A, they lost with Juventus out by (2-1). In the last 10 away matches Fiorentina has won 4, tied 3 and lost 3. The team has conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, so their defense needs to improve, but their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In 15 games, they only got 1 comeback in the 6 games in which they suffered the first goal. In the last 19 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 10 of their 24 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).

Fiorentina left for this unmotivated match, after a 2-1 defeat in the Juventus field trip: Milenkovic scored the only goal of the team. It should be noted that the visitors are at a disadvantage in the tie, after having added a draw to three in the first leg. Usually the coach Vincenzo Montella acts with three men in the defense, five in midfield and two in the attack, Diego Simeone being the team’s most fixed offensive reference. However, the great master and brain of this team is the Italian Federico Chiesa, player with great quality of pass and vision of the game. For this game the visiting coach can not count on Marko Pjaca, a player recovering from injury.

© Andrey

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