Prediction for Tondela – Braga
Tondela and less than 4.5 goals @ 1.90
We are going with a forecast for Sunday morning in the Portuguese first division, for that I have decided for one of the two matches in which the last place for the second down is in play.
Tondela
The two teams that are disputed to save are the Moreirense and Tondela, we will see the classification missing of a day:
Tondela currently occupies the penultimate place (descent) with 29 points, while Moreirense is 16º with one more point (30).
That is to say Moirerense depend on itself, the problem comes in that they play it against the Port that although nothing is played the houses of bets continue giving to him by favorite and the victory of Moirerense is paid to 4.75.
This is where this forecast comes in, Tondela is worth winning and Moirerense does not do so I think his win may be more feasible than the bookmakers say.
They need to win yes or no and besides not depending on themselves they will leave from the first minute to look for the encounter.
In front of Braga have a team that has achieved its goal that is none other than to go to Europe and that nothing is played, so although I do not think they give the game but if they come with substitutes or players with less minutes and thinking more In the holidays than in anything else.
Braga
Another point that I like is the streak of Tondela at home in the last games 3 played three won: 2-1 to Vitoria de Setúbal, 2-0 to Nacional and 2-1 to Rio Ave.
At the same time Braga of the last three has lost 2 and won 1.
Once seen my impressions we go with the statistics:
Tondela at home has won 6 games of 16 but the good thing is that in those 6 matches was accomplished the pick of less than 4.5 goals:
2-1 Pacos
2-1 Vitoria de Guimarães
2-0 Keys
2-1 Rio Ave
2-0 National
2-1 Vitoria Setúbal
Braga on the other hand playing as a visitor has lost 6 games too and in all of them our goal handicap was fulfilled:
3-1 vs Benfica
1-0 Maritimo
1-0 Oporto
1-0 Rio Ave
3-1 pacos
2-1 Moirerense.
Another point that I like is that the last outing of Braga was against the other team in the descent and was fulfilled our pick, ie lost and were less than 4.5 goals.
To finish to say that of the 32 parties disputed by these two sets only in UNO they were 5 or more goals (Tondela 1- Sporting Lisbon 4), that is to say the problem of the forecast would come by the victory of the premises and not the amount of goals And seeing that the victory of the locals is paid as much to 1.7, I go with this forecast where we offer betfair to share 1.9.
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