Braga – Tondela PREDICTION & PREVIEW (16.01.2017)

Braga scores more than 1.5 goals

We are going with a strong stake to this pick of the league of Portugal. I remind you of my use of stakes: 3 for unlikely things, 5 for normal bets, and 7 for bets that I see sure. Probably this pick on your scale would be stake 3-5.

I do not understand much this quota, I expected it in 1.30-1.40 and I find it near the 1.6 reason why I am forced to enter strong. The match faces the third of the league of Portugal (the Braga) before the colista (Tondela).

If we look at Braga matches at home, the numbers speak for themselves, all victories with many goals and with 2 or more goals in favor in 7 of the last 8 matches:

03.01.2017 POR LC SL Benfica 4-0 FC Vizela
29.12.2016 POR LC SL Benfica 1-0 Paços de Ferreira
21.12.2016 POR D1 SL Benfica 2-0 Rio Ave
11.12.2016 POR D1 SL Benfica 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
27.11.2016 POR D1 SL Benfica 3-0 Moreirense FC
28.10.2016 POR D1 SL Benfica 3-0 Paços de Ferreira
02.10.2016 POR D1 SL Benfica 4-0 CD Feirense
19.09.2016 POR D1 SL Benfica 3-1 Sporting Braga

By contrast, the colista of the Portuguese league with very poor numbers away from home, only in 1 of the last 7 games received less than 1.5 goals. Rare against Sporting, 2nd in the league, but teams in the lower zone of the league have scored 2 or 3 goals easily:

23.12.2016 POR D1 Vitória Setúbal 3-0 CD Tondela
11.12.2016 POR D1 Nacional Madeira 3-2 CD Tondela
03.12.2016 POR D1 Rio Ave 3-1 CD Tondela
05.11.2016 POR D1 GD Estoril 2-0 CD Tondela
22.10.2016 POR D1 Sporting Lisbon 1-1 CD Tondela
25.09.2016 POR D1 Marítimo 2-0 CD Tondela
12.09.2016 POR D1 CD Feirense 2-1 CD Tondela

Personally I also carry the 2.5 of Braga to 2.75 but with this quota to 1.57 I have preferred to raise 1.5.