Numancia – UCAM Murcia Prediction & Preview and Betting Tips (06.05.2017)

Prediction for Numancia – UCAM Murcia

Draw @ 3.10

I almost never bet on a draw, come on, it’s a rare occasion when I do, but I think this game is frankly conducive to a draw.

Numancia

Firstly because of the qualifying situation of both teams. With six games to go, the Numancia is 12th with 45 points and UCAM Murcia with 14 points with 44 points. The decline is now in 41 points, which has the Nástic, so both teams have a revenue of 4 and 3 points. And the most positive thing for it is that they have enough teams in between.

Obviously the draw does not guarantee anything to any, but at this point adding up is very positive. Even supposing he won the Nástic, it is very likely that Elche, either Almeria, or Córdoba pinchen (all three teams are 42 points), so Numancia and UCAM would maintain their income of 3 and 4 points. I mean with this that the tie, in principle, is not a result that harms any. If they get tied to the last stretch they are not going to go crazy.

UCAM Murcia

On the other hand, we have both are among the teams that tie the most. The Numancia has tied 15 games, being its most usual result, and the UCAM 14, also its most usual result. Between the two they add 29 draws. And Numancia at home has tied 7 of 18 and UCAM was 8 of 17.

And well, Numancia comes from drawing 6 of the last 8 games, losing to Girona (second placed) and winning the Elche (perhaps the team in the worst form of the category). The UCAM comes from 4 games without draw, before that 4 draws in 5 days. And in the first leg the tie broke in the minute 87 ‘.

I think that with these data the tie is more likely than the quotas are. I’m not talking about anything or anything like that at all, simply that the draw is the most repeated result of both teams, that neither will kill to win the game given their situation, or that Numancia comes from tying 6 of the 8 last matches.