AC Milan – Fiorentina SOCCER PICKS
Milan and Fiorentina meet at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in a match for the 17 th round of Serie A. In this stadium, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which records 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 4 matches. In fact, the last time these two teams played a match at this stadium was on 20-05-2018, in a match for Serie A that ended with Milan’s victory by (5-1). The goals of the match were scored by H. Çalhanoğlu (23 ‘), P. Cutrone (41’ and 59 ‘), N. Kalinić (49’) and G. Bonaventura (76 ‘), for Milan, and G. Simeone ( 20 ‘), for Fiorentina. In this game the home factor may be decisive, since both teams present considerable differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.
Milan:
After 7 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses, the home team is currently in the 4 th position, with 27 points won. In the last match, they tied in an away match against Bologna (0-0), after in the previous match they tied (0-0) at home, in a match against Torino. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 32 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last 8 home league matches Milan has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 17 points out of 24 possible. In their home matches there are a few frequent results: at half-time 1-0 (3 out of 8 matches) and at the end of the match 2-1 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency has not been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for goals, since 6 of the last 8 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 16 matches in the competition, they suffered the first goal 4 times and only managed 1 comeback.
The Milan enters this day after a foreign tie, to zero, in the displacement to the field of Bologna. The home club usually acts in a tactical system in 4-4-2, favoring a more offensive style of play, attacking through the side runners. Milan are a team that likes to play in their own midfield, with the aim of trying to surprise their opponent through the counterattack. When it invests in the offensive process, it usually does so through the right flank, in order to take advantage of the depth offered by the Calabria side. For this game the home coach will not be able to count on Bonaventura, Lucas Biglia, Ivan Strinic, Musacchio and Mattia Caldara, for being injured. Bakayoko and Kessié will also be absent, because they are suspended.
Fiorentina:
After 5 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses, the away team is currently in the 10 th position of the league, with 22 points won. In their last match, they won against Empoli at home (3-1), after in the previous match they tied for a match against Sassuolo, by (3-3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 23 conceded; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the last 8 away league matches Fiorentina has a record of 5 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 5 points out of 24 possible.
For this competition, they have a sequence of 4 draws in their last away matches and have not won any of the last 8 away matches. In their home matches there are a few frequent results: at half-time 0-0 (4 out of 8 matches) and at the end of the match 1-1 (3 out of 8 matches). The team has conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, so they have not displayed great defensive solidity, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 6 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 16 matches in this tournament, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have only won 1 result. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 9 away matches for all competitions: they have suffered 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).
Fiorentina enter this round motivated, after a triumph at home, 3-1, at the reception to Empoli: Mirallas, Simeone and Dabo scored the goals of victory. The visiting club usually acts in a tactical system in 4-3-3, favoring a more offensive style of play, attacking through the lateral corridors. La Fiorentina is a team that likes to play in its own midfield, with the aim of trying to surprise its rivals through the counterattack. When it invests in the offensive process, it usually does so through the left flank, in order to take advantage of the depth offered by Biraghi. For this game the outsider will not be able to count on Abdou Diakhate and Kevin Diks, because they are injured.
