Freiburg – Augsburg Prediction & Picks (12.05.2018)

Freiburg and Augsburg face each other in Schwarzwald-Stadion, in a match for the 34th round of the Bundesliga. The two teams tied (3-3), on 12-16-2017, in the previous match for this edition of the league. In this situation, the history of direct confrontations indicates total balance between these two teams, since there were 2 victories for each team in the last 4 matches. However, the last time these two teams played a match in this stadium was on 22-10-2016, for the Bundesliga, which ended with the Freiburg victory by (2-1). The goals of the match were scored by M. Philipp (66 ‘) and N. Petersen (78’), for Freiburg, and Halil Altıntop (84 ‘), for Augsburg. In this game the home factor may be decisive, since both teams present considerable differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.

Freiburg:

After 7 wins, 12 draws and 14 losses, the home team is currently in the 15 th position of the league, with 33 points won. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Borussia M’gladbach by (3-1), after in the previous match they have won (3-2) at home, against Köln. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 5 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 34 conceded; against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 17 goals scored and 16 conceded. For the championship, Freiburg won 17 points out of 30 possible, after 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (9 out of 16 matches). The team allowed goals to the opponent in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition, so it has not been very strong defensively. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 10 of the last 16 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. This is a team that usually scores a few times first: it only opened the scoring in 6 of its last 33 matches for the Bundesliga, of these 6 it reached the break in advantage in 4 and won at the end of the 90 ‘in 4. In 33 matches in the competition, he suffered the first goal 21 times and only got 3 comebacks. In the last 16 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (76’-90 ‘).

The Freiburg comes to this last round needing a draw to not go to the relegation playoffs without depending on other results and must make a more cautious game, focusing first on defending and then attack. The local team presents serious problems, both in the offensive and defensive sector, as they scored only 30 goals, being the worst attack of the national championship, and suffered 56 goals, having the second worst defense. Playing at home, as in Saturday’s game, Freiburg finished a 3-defeat series with a good victory in the last match and the most worrying thing is that it is the team that scored the least at home, with only 15 goals in 16 matches. However, he has the fifth best defense in this type of situation. For the game against Augsburg, coach Hecking will not be able to count on midfielder Schuster, due to an injury.

Augsburg:

After 10 wins, 11 draws and 12 losses, the away team is currently in the 11 th position of the league, with 41 points won. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Hertha BSC, by (2-2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Schalke 04, by (1-2). This is a team that, oddly enough, was better outside than at home, as in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses at their stadium. For the league, Augsburg won 11 points out of 30 possible points, after 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 1-0 (6 out of 16 matches). They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 33 matches in this competition, they have only won 1 of the 15 matches in which they have conceded the first goal. In the last 16 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have suffered 7 of their 20 goals between minutes (76’-90 ‘).

The Augsburg reaches this last round only to meet the calendar, since it does not dispute anything else in this national championship.It does not have possibilities of descent and neither to obtain a place in the European competitions of the next season. The visiting team has a medium performance, both in the offensive and in the defensive sector, acting very irregularly in both. His defense fell of performance in the last days, having suffered at least 2 goals in his last 2 games. Augsburg does not lose 5 games, in which they drew 4 and won 1 and it should be noted that they scored a maximum of 1 goal in 6 of the last 8 matches in this type of situation. On the other hand, he has the third best defense in the visitor’s condition, being a very compact team that leaves few spaces in his defense when he plays away from his domains. For the confrontation with Freiburg, coach Manuel Baum will not be able to count on the lateral Max and the midfielder Heller, both for suspension.