Dortmund – Mainz Prediction & Picks (05.05.2018)

Borussia Dortmund and Mainz 05 face each other in Signal-Iduna-Park, in a match for the 33rd round of the Bundesliga. Borussia Dortmund won out (0-2) the last time they met in this edition of the league, on 12-12-2017. The history of direct matches played in this stadium is favorable to the home team, which in the last 4 matches won 4. Indeed, the last time these two teams played a match in this stadium, on 08-27-2016, to the Bundesliga, Borussia Dortmund won by (2-1). P. Aubameyang (17 ‘and 89’) scored the goals of the game, for Borussia Dortmund, and Y. Muto (90 ‘), for Mainz 05. Particular attention is needed for the home / away condition, since both teams they present significantly different results at home and abroad.

Borussia Dortmund:

After 15 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses, the home team is currently in the 2 nd position, with 57 points won. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Bayer Leverkusen, by (4-0). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Werder Bremen, by (1-1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 31 goals scored and 20 conceded. For the league, Borussia Dortmund won 21 points out of 30 possible points, after 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 home matches.

For this competition, they have not lost any of the last 9 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 1-0 (6 out of 16 matches). Their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 11 of the last 16 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 32 matches in this competition, they only won 1 comeback in the 10 matches in which they suffered the first goal. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 16 home matches for this competition: they have suffered 8 of their 19 goals between minutes (61’-75 ‘).

Dortmund enter this game after a forced draw, a ball, on the visit to Werder Bremen. Like the rival of this performance, the home team must act in a tactical system in 4-3-3, with the aim of taking advantage of the progression in the field through short passes. In any case, it is clear that Dortmund adopts a more offensive stance, bearing in mind that it has a superior staff. The coach of Dortmund will not be able to count on Michy Batshuayi, Sebastian Rode, Erik Durm and Dan-Axel Zagadou, for being injured.

Mainz 05:

The away team is currently in the 14 th position of the league, with 33 points won, after 8 wins, 9 draws and 15 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Augsburg, by (2-0). In the last match, they won in a home match against RB Leipzig, by (3-0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 5 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 29 conceded; against 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 23 suffered. In the last 10 away league matches Mainz 05 has a record of 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 30 possible. There is a tendency for goals in their away matches, since 14 of the last 16 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 32 matches in this competition, he only managed 2 comebacks in the 21 games in which he suffered the first goal.

Mainz enter this motivated performance, after a home win, 3-0, in the reception at Leipzig: De Blasis, Maxim and Baku scored the goals of the victory. One of the main valences of the visiting team is the way they manage to create danger almost always attacking from the flanks, as well as the task performed by the players in the recovery of possession of the ball. The outsider team usually acts in a tactical system in 4-3-3, favoring a faster style of play. In this tactical drawing, the three players responsible for throwing the panic in the opposing defense are Muto, De Blasis and Oztunali. The coach of Mainz will not be able to count on Emil Berggreen, Suat Serdar, Niko Bungert and Leon Balogun, for being injured.