Lorient – Guingamp PREDICTION & PREVIEW (14.01.2017)

Over (+) 2.5

Same quota in Luckia. Betfair 2.10 and in other houses less. I recommend not going under the even fee.

This time we head to the French league, focusing on the match that will face the Lorient and the Guingamp.

The Lorient is last with 15 points, to only 4 of the positions of salvation. In his stage takes a balance of 4 wins, 4 losses and 1 tie. Highlight that comes from winning the last 2 matches played as a local.

Guingamp is fifth with 30 points, only 4 of the European posts. Out of his stadium he has a balance of 4 losses, 4 draws and 2 wins. It is a rather mediocre team as a visitor. To emphasize that of its last 5 games at home, only has lost 1 of them.

As I said earlier, the 2 sets are 4 points from your main goal, therefore, you just win them. Anything other than winning would be of little use to them. I think it benefits us that the most needy (the Lorient) play at home because of the extra motivation they should have playing in their stadium with their people.

Despite being a “superior” a priori team, the Guingamp only averaged a 45.4% possession as a visitor, for a 51.4% of Lorient in his stadium. I do not anticipate a dominance of any of the 2, so I expect a fairly open and moved party.

Let’s look at the statistics:

The Lorient average 1 goal in favor by 1.56 against. Of their 9 matches played to date, in 6 of them we would have the green. Highlight that in his last 5 games as a local has exceeded the line of 2.5 goals.

The Guingamp averages 1.40 goals scored by 1.40 fit out of their field. Of the 10 matches played so far we would get the green in 5 of them, half.

We go to h2h:

20/02/16 Lorient 4 – 3 Guingamp
30/08/14 Lorient 4 – 0 Guingamp
1/18/14 Lorient 2 – 0 Guingamp
1/1/12 Lorient 2 – 4 Guingamp
10/01/06 Lorient 2 – 1 Guingamp
10/6/04 Lorient 1 – 2 Guingamp

I am aware that a 2004 game should not have much influence on the match we will see in 4 days, but we see that of the last 6 matches played between them, in 5 of them we would have the green. We would be a goal in the only red.

For all the above, I think it’s going to be a moved party and with a lot of goals. As I said at the beginning, below the even fee, the bet would lose its value, therefore, do not enter if the quota falls.

Luck !!