We are going to the final of the final of the Play offs descent of Ligue 1 between Lens and Dijon. We will need both teams not to score in the match.
Unexpected end for the last vacant position in Ligue 1. The Lens got the 5th place in Ligue 2 with suspense until the last day of the league. From there, he needed 240 minutes of the match to reach this final. Against Paris in the quarter saw him tied in 93, forcing the match to the extension but getting the pass on penalties and against Troyes same result in the match, 1-1, but this time getting a goal in the extension that I would give the pass to this final. The Dijon is also here surprisingly for that last day where he got the victory and Caen, who needed a draw to secure the POs, lost at home to the Bordeaux, descending directly, so both are here without much confidence from anyone but they fight for a position in the French top category.
Let’s go to the bet itself. Very important match in a tie to 2 games so they will not want to take too many risks. The Lens comes with a major wear and tear so I do not think it will be good for a game at high revolutions, trying to play a slow game, controlling the ball and without putting many marches. In his league comes with a balance of 49 goals in favor and 28 against, being the 3rd least scored team in the category.
Of the 38 games that were league, has scored in 22 games and has maintained the goal to 0 in 20, leaving us with a good percentage of both do not score with 74% success (28 of 38). At home we have the same% success (14 of 19) but with the change that here leaves more times his goal to 0 (12 of the 20 times he has done it) and where he has only received 9 of the 28 goals of all the league. This improvement in defensive performance is better against a rival at a level more similar to the rest of his league.
On the other hand we have the Dijon that also shows us good data. Balance of 31 goals in favor and 60 against, being the 3rd least scoring team in the league. Of the 38 days played he has left the goal to 0 in only 8 games and scored in 16. This leaves us a very positive baggage with a success rate of 66% (25 of 38). That improves when he plays as a visitor as it greatly increases his difficulty to score with only 5 games out of 19 in which he has scored. In the both do not score leaves us 15 hits in 19 games as a visitor (79%).
Seeing this is to increase stake but we have to take into account that they are fairly level rivals and that it can not be weighted with the same importance as in 2 different leagues. Even so, in the Dijon we see that in his visit to the last 10 classified we have 8 hits and in the Lens, of the 10 matches at home against the best ranked 7 hits.
Therefore, going from a very important and even tie in which I think we will see a low pace and before two teams that usually leave us with very favorable markers for our interests I hope that this time it will be like this again and leave us a green.
