Southampton – Watford Prediction & Picks (10.11.2018)


Southampton – Watford SOCCER PICKS

Southampton and Watford meet at St. Mary’s Stadium, in a match for the 12 th round of the Premier League. The history of direct confrontations played in this stadium is favorable to the home team, which in the last 4 matches won 2, drew 1 and lost 1. Indeed, the last time these two teams played a game in this stadium, in 27 -01-2018, for the FA Cup, Southampton won by (1-0). J. Stephens (4 ‘) scored the only goal of the game. Particular attention is required for the home / away condition, since both teams present significantly different results at home and abroad.


After 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses, the home team is currently in the 15 th position, with 8 points won. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Manchester City by (6-1), after in the previous match they have tied (0-0) at home, against Newcastle United. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 25 conceded; against 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 13 goals scored and 21 suffered. In the last 5 home league matches Southampton has a record of 3 wins and 2 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 15 possible.

For this competition, he does not win in his stadium 5 matches ago. Defensive consistency has not been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 11 games in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 5 times and never got the comeback. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 6 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 3 of their 7 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).

Southampton enter this unmotivated match, after a heavy slight, by 6-1, on the move to the Manchester City home: the only goal of the team was scored by Danny Ings. It is important to underline that the locals only have 1 win in 11 games played in the championship. The whole house usually acts in a traditional 4-4-2, privileging a style of play of constant offensive organizations. Note that in this tactical drawing the two most advanced players are Danny Ings and Shane Long, the first being the best marker, with 4 goals scored. For this day the coach of the premises can count on all its players.


After 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, the away team is currently in the 8 th position, with 19 points won. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Newcastle United by (1-0), after in the previous match they have won at home, in a match against Huddersfield Town, by (3-0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. For the league, Watford won 7 points out of 15 possible points, after 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 5 home matches. The team has conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, so they have not displayed great defensive solidity, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since in 16 of the last 25 they played there were less than 3 goals. In 11 matches in this competition, they only won 1 comeback in the 5 matches they suffered the first goal. In the last 8 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 7 goals between minutes (76’-90 ‘).

Watford enter this unmotivated match, after a snub, 1-0, in the move to the Newcastle field. But it should be noted that before the visitors added 2 consecutive victories in the championship. Unlike the rival of this round, the visiting team chooses to act in a traditional 4-4-2, in which the three most advanced players are Deulofeu and Sucess. On the other hand, the Argentine Roberto Pereyra is the best score of Watford, with 5 goals scored. By acting outside the home, we believe that the Watford will adopt a more defensive posture, with the objective of not becoming unbalanced. The technician Javi Gracia will not be able to count on Cleverley and Janmaat, to be injured.

© Andrey

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