Southampton – Bournemouth Prediction & Picks (28.04.2018)

Southampton and AFC Bournemouth meet at St. Mary’s Stadium, in a match for the 36 th round of the Premier League. The two teams tied (1-1), on 03-12-2017, in the previous match for this edition of the league. The record of direct confrontations of the last 3 years is favorable to the home team, which in the last 6 matches won 3, drew 2 and lost 1. The home / away condition deserves particular attention, since despite this being a match between º and 11º of the table of the league, in fact it is a confrontation between 19º classified in parties in house and 9º as visitor.

Southampton:

After 5 wins, 14 draws and 15 losses, the home team is currently in the ª position, without having conquered any points. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Chelsea, by (2-3). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Leicester City, by (0-0). This is a team little affected by the house factor, since it conquered similar results at home and abroad. In the last match they played, for the FA Cup, they lost to Chelsea away by (2-0). In the last 10 home league matches Southampton has a record of 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 8 points out of 30 possible.

For this competition, he does not win in his stadium 9 games ago. The team allowed goals to the opponent in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition, so it has not been very strong defensively. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 11 of the last 17 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 34 matches in this competition, they only won 1 comeback in the 17 matches in which they suffered the first goal.

Southampton come to this unmotivated day, after a foreign snub, by 2-0, in the Chelsea field visit. The home team usually acts in a tactical system in 5-3-2, favoring a faster game style and constant transitions. In this tactical scheme, the two players responsible for throwing the panic in the opposing defense are Austin and Long. Coach Mark Hughes must have the entire squad at his disposal for this round.

AFC Bournemouth:

After 9 wins, 11 draws and 15 losses, the away team is currently in the 11 th position of the league, with 38 points won. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Liverpool, by (3-0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Manchester United, by (0-2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 15 points in away matches and 23 at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 28 conceded at home, against 25 goals scored and 30 conceded at home. In the last 10 away matches for the championship AFC Bournemouth has a record of 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 8 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (6 out of 18 matches). The team has not been too strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 35 matches in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 21 times and only managed 4 comebacks.

The Bournemouth enters this unmotivated performance, after a home defeat, by 0-2, in the reception to Manchester United. Unlike the rival of this day, the foreign team must act in a tactical system in 4-3-3, with the aim of trying to take advantage of the counterattacks. But in this game it is guessed that Bournemouth will adopt a more defensive posture, with the objective of not allowing spaces to its adversary. The coach of Bournemouth will not be able to count on Junior Stanislas, Adam Smith and Tyrone Mings, for being injured.