Millwall and Burton Albion meet in The Den, in a match for the 16th round of the Championship. In the last 3 years there is only record of 2 direct confrontations between these two teams: one on 28-03-2016, which ended in a victory of Millwall by (2-0), and another more recent on 01-12-2015, that ended in a victory of Burton Albion by (2-1). The condition home / away deserves particular attention, because despite this being a match between 16 th and 23 th of the league table, it is really a match between the 8 th best player in home matches and the 23 th best in away matches.
Millwall :
After 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses, the home team is currently in the 16th position, with 17 points won. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Cardiff City, by (0-0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Sheffield Wednesday, by (2-1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 13 points in away matches, with 4 goals scored and 7 conceded, against 14 points won at their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 9 conceded. In the last 7 home league matches Millwall has a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 13 points out of 21 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (4 out of 7 matches). In 15 matches in the competition, they suffered the first goal 6 times and only managed 1 comeback.
The Millwall comes to this unmotivated day, after a foreign defeat, by 2-1, in the visit to the land of Sheffield Wednesday. The home team usually acts in a tactical system in 4-3-3, privileging fast transitions, mainly through the flanks. In this tactical scheme, the three most advanced players are Ferguson, Elliott and Wallace. The technician Neil Harris will not be able to count on the central defense Jake Cooper, to be suspended.
Burton:
After 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses, the away team is currently in the 23 rd position, with 10 points won. In their last match, they lost with Barnsley at home (2-4), after in the previous match they lost at home, in a match against Ipswich Town, by (1-2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 3 points in away matches and 7 at their stadium, with 1 goal scored and 13 conceded, against 8 goals scored and 18 conceded at home. For the league, Burton Albion won 3 points out of 21 possible points, after 3 draws and 4 losses in the last 7 home matches.
For this competition, they have not won any of the last 7 away matches. In their home matches there are a few frequent results: at half-time 0-0 (4 out of 7 matches) and at the end of the match 0-0 (3 out of 7 matches). The team has conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, so it has not presented great defensive solidity, and their attack needs to improve, as they have not scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that usually scores a few times first: it only opened the scoring in 2 of its last 15 matches for the Championship, and never reached halftime advantage. In 15 matches in this tournament, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only won 1 result. In the last 11 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have suffered 8 of their 20 goals between minutes (46′-60 ‘).
The Burton arrives at this unmotivated day, after a homemade snub, by 2-4, at the Barnsley reception. Unlike the rival of this day, the Burton usually acts in a 3-5-2, in which the two players in the most advanced zone are Dyer and Akins. The visiting club, when it invests in the offensive process, usually does so through the right flank, taking advantage of the depth offered by right-back Scannell. Coach Nigel Clough will not be able to count on Liam Boyce, because he is recovering from an injury.
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