Valencia – Arsenal Prediction & Picks (09.05.2019)


Valencia – Arsenal SOCCER PICKS

Valencia and Arsenal meet at Estadio de Mestalla, in a return match of this phase of the UEFA Europa League (Semi-finals), after in the first leg Arsenal won at home by (3-1). the Arsenal presents considerable differences in their results at home and as a visitor, so that in this game the home factor may be decisive.


Despite the disadvantage of 2 goals in the first leg, the home team will try to take advantage of having scored 1 goal away in that match. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss at their stadium. In the last match they played, for the First Division, they beat Huesca by (2-6). In the last 10 home matches Valencia has won 7, tied 2 and lost 1 of the last matches. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 7 matches for this competition. In 15 games, he never got the comeback in the 4 games in which he suffered the first goal. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 9 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).

The Valencia party for this game with a win, 2-6, in the displacement to the land of Huesca, placing a final point to the three defeats in official matches. However, we emphasize that the Spaniards lost in the first leg of the semi-final of the Europa League, 3-1. However, the goal scored away from home offers hope to Valencia. In this game against the fans, coach Marcelino Toral must maintain his usual style of play, that is, it will benefit the defensive organization and counterattacks through the flanks. Dani Parejo is the great star of Valencia, being responsible for much of the offensive attacks. On the other hand, Gonçalo Guedes is the best marker of the premises in this competition, with 3 goals scored. For this game the local coach can not count on Cheryshev and Kondogbia, players recovering from injury.


The away team comes to this second leg with an advantage of 2 goals, but suffered 1 goal at home in the first leg. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 26 conceded; against 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses at their stadium, with 37 goals scored and 12 conceded. In their last match, for the League, they got a home tie against Brighton & Hove Albion by (1-1). In the last 6 UEFA Europa League away matches, Arsenal won 4 and lost 2. The defense has been strong and has only suffered goals in 3 of the last 10 matches, and their attack has scored regularly, since scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that usually scores many times first: opened the scoring in 10 of its last 13 matches for the UEFA Europa League, of these 10 came to the break in advantage in 8 and managed to maintain the advantage until the end of the 90 ‘in 9. There is 1 highlight period in the last 20 away matches for all competitions: they suffered 11 of their 31 goals between the minutes (31’-45 ‘).

The Arsenal left for this game with a draw, by 1-1, at the reception at Brighton, thus recording the second game followed without losing in official games. It should be noted that the English are in advantage in this semifinal, as they beat Valencia 3-1. Despite playing in a difficult terrain, coach Unai Emery must assume a very bold strategy, with the lines advanced, looking in the best way to explore the opponent’s defensive weaknesses. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the best Arsenal gunner in this competition, with 5 goals scored. For this game the outsider can not count on Ramsey, Welbeck, Denis Suarez, Bellerín and Holding, all injured.

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