Tobol – Samtredia Prediction & Picks (19.07.2018)


Tobol – Samtredia FREE PICKS

Tobol and Samtredia meet at Ortalıq Stadion, in a return match for this stage of the UEFA Europa League (1st Qualifying Round), after the victory outside Tobol by (0-1) in the first leg. In this game the home factor may be decisive, since both teams present considerable differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.


After the away win by (0-1), the home team comes to this second leg with a 1 goal advantage. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 6 victories, 4 draws and 5 defeats in his stadium. In the last match that they played, for the Premier League, they tied with Kaisar away by (2-2). In the last 10 home matches Tobol has 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses. Their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 7 of the last 16 matches have ended with Under 1,5 goals and 12 out of 16 have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 15 games, he suffered the first goal 6 times and never got the comeback. In the last 16 home matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they scored 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (61′-75 ‘); He suffered 5 of his 14 goals between the minutes (31’-45 ‘).

The Tobol starts for this according to match of the 1st phase of the Europa League in advantage, after having beaten Samtredia by 0-1. After that, the locals added a draw to two against Kaisar, in play for the Kazakhstan Championship. The set guided by Vladimir Nikitenko plays, normally, in 3-4-3, being Maksim Fedin the most offensive reference of the home team. Tanat Nuserbayev is one of the great highlights of Vladimir Nikitenko, owning great speed and technical quality. Apparently, there are no absences to register for this game.


After the defeat at home, the visiting team comes to this second leg with a disvalue of 1 goal and with the difficult task of recovering this negative result as a visitor. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 7 matches they register 3 losses as a visitor, with 2 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 2 wins and 2 losses at their stadium, with 7 goals scored and 4 suffered.

Samtredia started for this match with a defeat at home against Tobol, by 0-1, complicating their situation in this Europa League. It is important to remember that visitors gained access to this competition as a result of the third position in the Championship of Georgia. In this game away from home is expected that coach Ucha Sosiashvili plays in 5-3-2, privileging the defensive organization and counterattacks through the flanks: Inters Gui is a very fast and exemplary intervener in the offensive transition. There are no absences of weight for this game.

Prediction Related Bets:

Tobol win1.251-06.50BTS / NO 1.58

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