Lokomotiv Moscow – Atl. Madrid Prediction & Picks (15.03.2018)



Lokomotiv Moscow and Atletico Madrid face off at Stadion Lokomotiv, in a return leg of this UEFA Europa League (8th Finals) phase, after Atlético Madrid won at home (3-0) in the first leg. Attention to the home factor, since the Lokomotiv Moscow usually conquers different results at home and abroad.

Lokomotiv Moscow:

The home team comes to this second leg with a disadvantage of 3 goals, in addition to the disadvantage of not scoring goals as a visitor in the first leg. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in away matches; against 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. In the last match they played, for the Premier League, they beat Ural Sverdlovskaya by (0-2). In the last 4 home matches for the UEFA Europa League the Lokomotiv Moscow has 3 wins and 1 loss. Their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 9 matches for this competition.

The Lokomotiv Moscow returns to play at home after two consecutive exhibitions away from their fans, which must be satisfied with the performance of the club, since suffered only one defeat in the last five games. However, this defeat was precisely for the Europa League, against Atlético de Madrid, which left the Russians in a very complicated situation, almost without hope of moving forward in the continental tournament. Now, the team comes from a victory for the Russian Championship, in which it occupies the leadership with some rest, standing out for the consistency of its defensive system. Although not living a bad time, the home team has not been a great performance in their stadium, being that in that condition won only one of the seven games played in 2018. The 5-3-2 or 4-2-3- 1 should be the tactical scheme adopted for this duel, with Aleksey Miranchuk standing out in the offensive sector.

Atlético Madrid:

The away team comes to this second leg with an advantage of 3 goals, but suffered 0 goals at home in the first leg. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches he has 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses as a visitor. against 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss at their stadium. The team comes to this match after a home victory over Celta de Vigo by (3-0). In the last 10 away matches for all competitions, Atlético Madrid won 6, tied 1 and lost 3. Their defense has been very strong, since they only suffered goals in 3 of the last 10 matches, and their attack has marked regularly, since he scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 15 of the last 33 matches have ended with Under 1,5 goals and 22 out of 33 have ended with Under 2,5 goals. This is a team that usually scores many times first: opened the scoring in 12 of its last 15 games, of these 12 reached the break in advantage in 8 and managed to maintain the advantage until the end of the 90 ‘in 10. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period in highlight: he suffered 5 of his 12 goals between the minutes (76’-90 ‘).

Atlético de Madrid continues to make a great season, considering that it has accumulated ten victories in the last eleven games, in all the competitions that it disputes, and must enter the field with much tranquility, because the great advantage built in the first leg practically has confirmed the classification for the next phase of the Europa League. Currently the team comes from another victory for La Liga, in which it occupies the second position, in a game in which it failed to create a good volume of scoring opportunities, but it was very efficient, thus beating Celta de Vigo at home. The team has been standing out, above all, for its defensive power, since it is the best defense of the Spanish championship and considering all the competitions that it is playing suffered only one goal in the last four matches. Simeone’s team must go to the field in 4-4-2, without major absences in the starting lineup.

© Andrey

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