Arsenal – AC Milan Prediction & Picks (15.03.2018)

Arsenal and Milan meet at Emirates Stadium, in a return match for this phase of the UEFA Europa League (8th Finals), after the victory outside Arsenal by (0-2) in the first leg. Attention to the home factor, since the Arsenal usually conquer different results at home and abroad.

Arsenal:

After the away win by (0-2), the home team comes to this second leg with a 2-goal advantage. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 36 goals scored and 19 conceded. In their last match, for the Premier League, they beat Watford at home (3-0). In the last 4 home matches for the UEFA Europa League, Arsenal recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. Their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 9 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 31 of the last 36 matches they have played have ended with Over 1,5 goals.

Arsenal comes to this game motivated, after the victory at home against Watford, 3-0, adding in this way the success according to several competitions. Coach Arsène Wenger must keep the team in 4-2-3-1, benefiting possession of the ball and organized attacks through the flanks: Mkhitaryan is a player of great technical quality and strong in the offensive transition, although he is in advantage in the tie. On the other hand, the Welshman Ramsey is one of the great highlights of Arsenal, with 7 goals scored. For this game the coach can not count on Cazorla, Lacazette and Monreal, injured, as well as Aubameyang, a player who has already played for another club in this competition.

Milan:

After the defeat at home, the visiting team comes to this second leg with a dismay of 2 goals and with the difficult task of recovering this negative result as a visitor. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 23 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 15 goals scored and 9 conceded. In the last match they played, for Serie A, they beat Genoa by (0-1). In the last 6 away league matches Milan has a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.

Milan come into this game with a good away win against Genoa, by 0-1, returning to the triumphs after the defeat against Arsenal, precisely in the first leg of this tie. In this return match it will be expected that the coach Gennaro Gattuso bet on a very offensive team, with the lines advanced, looking in the best way to explore the space in the back of the opposing defense. The striker Patrick Cutrone is the great highlight of Milan, with 14 goals scored. For this away game the outlandish coach can not count on Abate and Conti, players who present some physical problems.