Prediction for Ajax – Lyon
Over 2.5 goals and both mark @ 1.83
The semi-final of the Europa League against Ajax and O.Lyon.
Bet on “More than 2.5 goals and both score”.
The Ajax is one of the best teams in the Eradivisie (Dutch league), where it is currently 2 with 75 points (the first place gives direct access to the group stage of Champions and the second to the previous one) and, in the absence of 2 Matches, is 4 points behind Feyenoord and 3 points above PSV. It will be difficult for him to lose the Champions League and he has no choice to win the title, so he will be able to focus fully on what remains of the Europa League.
As a local he has 44 goals in favor and 12 goals against after 16 games (13 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss), which makes a mean of 3.5 goals per game. In 8 of the 16 matches this bet was green and in 9 of the 16 matches has conceded goal. Of course, in a minor league like the Dutch, it is normal to fit a few goals. Even so are positive numbers for this bet.
During the group stage of the Europa League they won the 3 home games (1-0 against Standard Liège, 3-2 against Celta de Vigo and 2-0 against Panathinaikos – team that ended the group stage With 1 point). Although it is true that only 1 of 3 was green, against Standard Liège saw a match with many occasions and Panathinaikos was the colista of the group, adding a single point and scoring only 3 goals in all 6 games. In matches away from home, the results were respectively 1-1; 2-2 and 1-2, seeing 2 green and 1 red by the minimum (before St. Liège).
In 16º of end they faced the Legia, in an eliminatory that had only 1 goal (that decided the tie, 1-0 in the return game). Although there were a large number of chances of goal between both parties, the tie was decided by the minimum.
In the 8th finals, Ajax played against Copenhagen, losing 2-1 in the first leg and winning 2-0 (both sides had a good number of occasions, especially the first leg).
In 4º of end played before the Schalke 04, being 2-0 the way and 2-0 the return, being decided the party in the extension and passing the Ajax despite disputing the party with 1 less player from the min.80 of the 2nd part. During the extension they were better. In this match it was incredible that Ajax did not score in the 90 min. Since it had all colors and was better than Schalke 04 at all times (in the first leg was also much better Ajax).
Lyon are making a good season finale. Although he has no option in the league to be eligible for Champions positions, he is in a good position to be able to secure his presence in the Europa League next season. After 34 matches played sum 57 points (1 point advantage over the 5th and 2 over the 6th, both with 1 more match). Since New Year, and perhaps a day or two before, he has starred numerous goals and games with many goals in general. While most of these matches have been the ones that have played as a local, away from home still have good statistics for this bet. Away from home he has 28 goals in favor and 21 goals against in 17 matches played (average of 2.88 goals per game). In 7 of the 17 matches this bet was green. Keep in mind that the season did not start well, improving their game and numbers over time. In the last 9 games he played away from home there were 5 greens (almost in the middle of encounters with 71% of the greens).
In the group stage of the Champions League (where they were 3rd), there was no match that finished in “Over 2,5 and both score,” however Lyon scored in 2 of the 3 matches (against Juventus and Dinamo Zagrev). In the Europa League they played 16º of end before the AZ Alkmaar, that thrashed in both parties, gaining the way 1-4 and the return 7-1.
In the 8th finals he played against Roma, which he eliminated by winning the first leg 4-2 and remaining on lap 2-1.
Against Besiktas, in 4º of end, both parties were 2-1, deciding the eliminatory one in the extension.
Two teams of similar level, both with good goals scorers. The Ajax have scored in every game they have played as a local this season, while Lyon have scored 9 consecutive games away from home (having scored in 16 of the last 17 games – Champions, League, Cup and Europa League). The Ajax as a local has not received a goal in 5 of the 6 matches that have played as a local in the Europa League, however I think, after Celta, is the 2nd level team against which will play, being a team that Rarely sees a goal (in Ligue 1 he has scored PSG and Monaco in all 4 matches he has played with them this season).
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