PAOK – Benfica Prediction & Picks (29.08.2018)



PAOK and Benfica meet at Stadio Toumbas, in a return match for this phase of the UEFA Champions League (Play-offs), after a (1-1) draw in the first leg. In this game the home factor may be decisive, since both teams present considerable differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.


The home team comes to this match back in advantage, after a draw as a visitor by (1-1), so a draw is enough for less than 1 goal to confirm the qualification to the next phase. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in away matches; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. In the last match they played, for the Super League, they beat Asteras Tripolis at home (1-0). In the last 10 home matches PAOK has won 7, tied 2 and lost 1 of the last matches.

For this competition, they have not lost any of the last 5 games. Their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 4 of the last 5 matches for this competition. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 4 home matches for all competitions: they have scored 3 of their 6 goals between minutes (31′-45 ‘).

The PAOK arrives at this motivated match, after having beaten Asteras 1-0, in a match to count for the 1st round of the Greek championship. The locals managed to score a goal in the first leg of the play-offs of access to the group stage of the Champions League, thus remaining in advantage in the tie. In this return match against Benfica, coach Razvan Lucescu must opt ​​for a strategy similar to that of the last game, benefiting the defensive organization and counterattacks: Léo Jabá is a very fast and strong player in the offensive transition. There are no absences of weight for this game.


The away team comes to this second leg at a disadvantage, because despite the draw in the first leg they suffered 1 goal at home. This is a team that, oddly enough, was better outside than at home, as in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins and 6 draws as a visitor; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. In the last match that they disputed, for the Primeira Liga, they tied with Sporting Lisboa at home (1-1). In the last 10 away matches Benfica has 7 wins and 3 draws. They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches.

Benfica had a very difficult game in the last round of the Portuguese league, however, managed a 1-1 draw against their rival, Sporting Lisbon: prodigy João Félix scored the team’s only goal. We remember that the visitors made a good display in the first leg of the play-offs and could have scored several goals in the first half, but they were not beyond a draw to a ball. In this match against PAOK, coach Rui Vitória must remain faithful to his game model, favoring the exchange of passes and organized attacks: Pizzi is the great master of the Portuguese team. For this visit to Greece, the coach can not count on Corchia, Jonas, Krovinovic and Castillo, all with physical problems.

Prediction Related Bets:

Benfica win 2.350-17.00BTS / NO1.84

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