First leg of the quarter-final between Liverpool and Porto.
I’m going to enter this game with the handicap +1.5 in favor of Porto. I know perfectly that today, Liverpool is more equipment than Oporto, both in terms of individual quality of their players and the team in general, but at this point in the Champions League, there is no easy match and each win costs sweat and tears.
Liverpool at home I know it is a very reliable team. To give an example, of the last 20 games, 16 wins, 13 draws and 1 defeat. The English league we could say today is one of the 2 most powerful, next to the Spanish, much better than the Portuguese. All this I know and it could be said that to enter in favor of Porto is to go against all statistics by looking at the numbers.
As for Porto, if you look at your matches as a foreigner, you have not lost more than one goal just one year. It was on April 2, 2018 in a league match against Belenenses. Since then, 27 away games with no losses by 2 goals or more.
If this match were the second leg, I would probably not enter the rag, but being the first one he calls me. I think Porto will close a lot trying to keep the goal clean and leave everything for the return. Liverpool think they will try to score, but without neglecting the defense, since goals against can cost a lot for the return home of the Portuguese.
