FC Porto – AS Roma SOCCER PICKS
Porto and Roma face each other in Estádio Do Dragão, in a second leg of this phase of the UEFA Champions League (8th Finals), after in the first leg Roma won at home (2-1). The history of recent direct matches between these two teams indicates total balance, as there was 1 draw and 1 win for each team in the last 3 matches. In this game the home factor may be decisive, since Roma presents considerable differences in their results at home and as a visitor.
The home team comes to this second leg with a disadvantage of 1 goal, but with the advantage of having scored 1 goal as a visitor in the first leg. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in away matches; against 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss at their stadium. The team comes to this match after a home loss to Benfica by (1-2). In the last 10 home matches Porto has won 8 and lost 2. The team has conceded goals in 6 of the last 7 matches and has not yet shown much defensive solidity, but their inning has scored regularly, as they have always scored at least one goal in the last 7 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 23 of the last 27 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).
The FC Porto comes to this game unmotivated by a defeat at home, by 1-2, in the reception to the biggest rival, Benfica, placing a final point to the three successive wins in several competitions. With this defeat he lost the leadership of the Portuguese league. It should be noted that the locals added a defeat to Roma, 2-1, in the first leg of the knockout stages of the Champions League. In this game against the fans, coach Sérgio Conceição must keep the team in a 4-4-2, privileging the maintenance of possession of the ball and organized attacks through the flanks: Brahimi is very fast and strong in the hand by hand. On the other hand, Tiquinho Soares is one of the best FC Porto scorers, with 16 goals scored. For this game the coach still can not count on Aboubakar, due to injury.
The away team comes to this second leg with an advantage of 1 goal, but suffered 1 goal at home in the first leg. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 26 conceded; against 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 39 goals scored and 16 suffered. The team comes to this match after a loss away with Lazio by (3-0). In the last 10 away matches Roma won 3, drew 2 and lost 5. Defensive consistency has not been their best, as they have conceded goals in 5 of the last 7 matches, but their offense has scored regularity, as they have scored goals in 5 of the last 7 matches for this competition. In 15 games, he only got 2 comebacks in the 7 games in which he suffered the first goal.
Roma come into this game with a 3-0 defeat at the Lazio reception, putting a final point to the four consecutive wins in official games. It is important to emphasize that the Italians are in advantage in the tie, since they won the first match 2-1. In this away game, coach Eusebio Di Francesco must maintain the usual 4-3-3, with Dzeko being the most advanced team member and the best score of the team, with 12 goals scored. For this game the coach can not count on the injured Manolas and Bianda.