Prediction for Bayern Munich – Arsenal
Win Bayern Munich Asian Handicap -1 @ 1.85
After months of waiting, the Champions League finally returns. And of course they return the stakes to the maximum European competition. There may be 2 for me for this week. The first HA -1 of Bayern Munich in the visit of Arsenal to Allianz.
– Bayern. The Bavarian team, the leader of the Bundesliga and again in the KO phase in Champions has one of the largest forts in the continent. He did not lose in Champions League at Allianz Arena from 0-4 at Real Madrid in April 2014 and since then only Juventus last year in the last 16 “tied” 2-2 (4-2 for Bayern after overtime). One of the biggest flaws in the last seasons of Bayern is that in the KO phase he has not won the last eight games at home.
Season 2013-14:
– Rooms: Manchester United 1-1 Bayern.
– Semi-finals: Real Madrid 1-0 Bayern.
Season 2014-15:
– Eighth: Shaktar Donetsk 0-0 Bayern.
– Rooms: Porto 3-1 Bayern.
– Semi-finals: Barcelona 3-0 Bayern.
Season 2015-16:
– Eighth: Juventus 2-2 Bayern.
– Rooms: Benfica 2-2 Bayern.
– Semi-finals: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Bayern.
Of all these qualifiers, only Benfica last season played the home leg and in that game won 1-0. Of all these qualifiers matches in the Allianz Arena 3 green (Porto, Shaktar Donetsk and Manchester United), 3 voids (Barcelona, Benfica and Atletico) and 2 reds (Juventus and Real Madrid.
In short, if they want to have no problems in this Champions League, they must win by the maximum margin possible before visiting the Emirates, a stadium where they lost last year in a 2-0 group stage. In the group stage this season was void against Atleti (1-0) and was very loose green against PSV and Rostov. True that these 2 are very inferior but against the Arsenal also took 5 goals last year of the Allianz Arena.
If we talk about the team, Bayern from the unexpected stumble in Rostov counts all their matches by victories save the tie 1 week ago against Schalke. Against the Ingolstadt in the last day left with the headlines and even going 0-0 decided to give minutes of rest to Xabi Alonso or Kimmich, essential players in the Bavarians. Ancelotti knows that he needs them atope to assault the Champions. As local, they add 27 goals in favor and 5 against.
– Arsenal: On the other side we have Arsenal of Wenger coming from a balsamic victory 2-0 against Hull City after adding a week of 2 league defeats in a row against Watford 1-2 and Chelsea 3-1. The center of the field of the Gunners arrives in box, Cazorla will not be and we will see if it can arrive at the return in the Emirates. Giroud and Monreal rested this weekend and others like Xhaka should return, allowing the OX to play more advanced in middleweight and not as a midfielder. In spite of all this I still see them much inferior to face Bayern, at least in the first leg.
The pressure is enormous to be able to lift the season since to be eliminated they will overcome a negative record that they share with Real Madrid, to fall eliminated would be the 7th consecutive year eliminated in the eighth. In this history of eliminations, we find these results:
– 2010/11: Arsenal 2-1 Barcelona.
– 2011/12: Milan 4-0 Arsenal.
– 2012/13: Arsenal 1-3 Bayern.
– 2013/14: Arsenal 0-2 Bayern.
– 2014/15: Arsenal 1-3 Monaco.
– 2015/16: Arsenal 0-2 Barcelona.
We found 5 green and 1 red. And 5 of the 6 first-leg games have been played locally. The only visitor, thrashed in San Siro.
On the template must say that they will look to give everything and stay alive to pass on the turn, after this game will play in an artificial turf field against Sutton United English 5th where most likely players rotate.
Although Arsenal are going to come out with everything they can in this match, Bayern is superior and should reflect it from the first leg, as the Bavarian level drops a lot. The only disadvantage is that in the 2 qualifiers of 2013 and 2014 the game between both at the Allianz Arena were a 0-2 and a 1-1 despite that I have much confidence in this pick.
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