Prediction for Balzan (Mlt) – Videoton (Hun)
Under 2.5 goals @ 1.91
An interesting match in this day of Tuesday is the one that will dispute Balzan and Videoton for the previous phase of the Europa League (return).
In my opinion, the Hungarian box leaves as a favorite due to the collective potential that it possesses which in theory exceeds that of its rival. At the moment, the fees support it. However, if we consider that you got a valuable advantage in the first leg, we advise you to play a few euros to the bet “minus 2.5 goals”. Remember that the first leg was closed, just dropping the goals in the last 10? Minutes of play.
Take into account that Balzan is a team from Malta, whose last official participation before this match was in early May. It is expected to risk a little more and leave a better image of the left in the first leg (somewhat biased and defensive approach whose main objective was not to give up goals). It worked for 80? Minutes of play, but in the end ended up falling.
On the other hand do not forget that the local table was placed second in its local league, being to 7 of the leader and champion Hibernians. Acting in its stadium, it obtained 9 triumphs, 4 ties and 3 falls in total. He managed to score 38 goals and yielded 20 on his fence, proving to be effective and explosive in this condition. That yes, before rivals of small hierarchy.
Continuing with the analysis you should know that Videoton is a team of the Hungarian league, being known to carry out an acceptable campaign in his domestic tournament (2nd place being three points behind leader and champion Honved). He played a couple of friendlies before the first leg, winning 2-0 to Zapresic and 1-0 to Russian Rostov.
To finish we tell you that Hungarian dominated widely the first leg, after having 61% of the total possession. He also finished 11 corners in total, managing to kick 15 times at the end. What’s more, a penalty failed before his two goals fell. The team is expected to try to set up a tactical match in the midfield to manage the advantage and take time off the clock. As added data we tell you that he added 6 wins, 6 draws and 4 falls acting away from home.
After everything said I play for the “less 2.5 goals” bet because of the following reasons: First, because Balzan, despite being a home scorer in his domestic league, will have problems overcoming a team with greater defensive solvency . Second because the picture of Malta is not favorite and will try to risk but without giving away space, and could finish the tie faster than thought. And third because Videoton scored and conceded a few goals in his 16 league outings, scoring 20 goals and conceding only 14 on his fence (4 “under” in his last 5 league outs). Faced with this reality and knowing that the process can be fought, we believe that the match can finish 0-0 or 1-1, not ruling out a 0-1 or 0-2 advantage of the visit. That Balzan wins is less likely.
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