AS Roma – Barcelona Prediction & Picks (10.04.2018)


AS Roma – Barcelona FREE PICKS

Roma and Barcelona meet at Stadio Olimpico, in a return match for this phase of the UEFA Champions League (Quarter-finals), after the victory at home to Barcelona by (4-1) in the first leg. The history of recent direct confrontations is favorable to the visiting team, which records 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 4 matches. In this game the home factor may be decisive, since Barcelona presents considerable differences in their results at home and as a visitor.


Despite the disadvantage of 3 goals of the first leg, the home team will try to take advantage of having scored 1 goal away in that match. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the last match that they disputed, for Serie A, they lost with Fiorentina at home (0-2). In the last 4 home league matches for the UEFA Champions League Roma have 3 wins and 1 draw.

For this competition, they have not lost any of the last 4 home matches. Their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 9 matches for this competition.

For this according to the match, and as if the defeat was not enough in the first duel against Barça, Roma lost again, this time in their domains, against Fiorentina, for the Italian championship, that is, in addition to two defeats, in this context he has not won for three games. It is important to remember that to reach the semi-final of the competition, Roma will need to win by three or more goals. As the team will act in their domains, it is important to observe their performance in these conditions by the Champions League, where they won mostly, because they were three wins in four possible, having been tied, that is, did not know defeats within home. As for his performance in both sectors, was the defensive that stood out, because while on average he scored only 1.25 goals per game, on the other hand he did not suffer any goal in the four games played. For this difficult match Eusebio Di Francesco should opt for 4-3-3. In this tactical scheme we highlight Kolarov and Florenzi, who must act on the flanks. The most advanced players will probably be Perotti, Ünder and Dzeko. In this team highlights Dzeko, who scored the highest number of goals in the competition, a total of five goals scored, plus two assists. For this game the coach does not have Rick Karsdorp, injured, in addition to Radja Nainggolan, who is in doubt.


The away team comes to this second leg with an advantage of 3 goals, but suffered 1 goal at home in the first leg. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 loss in away matches; against 13 wins and 2 draws in his stadium. In the last match they played, for the First Division, they beat CD Leganés at home by (3-1). In the last 4 away matches for the UEFA Champions League, Barcelona have 1 win and 3 draws.

For this competition, they have not lost any of the last 4 away matches. Their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 9 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 28 of the last 32 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 20 away matches for all competitions: they have scored 14 of their 36 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).

Unlike his opponent, Barcelona comes from two wins followed by their competitions, in addition to the fact that in this context does not suffer defeats nineteen games in a row. In addition to coming from a victory against Leganes for the Spanish championship, in its last game, the team arrives after having conquered a beautiful advantage against Roma and for this match can lose up to two goals difference and advance to the semifinal. In the case of the Champions League, it was draws that he conquered mostly, because in four matches, he won only once and at the same time he won three draws, that is, he did not know any losses. Another important fact is that the team, as a visitor, has been leaving much to be desired offensively, as it scores only 0.5 goals on average per game. But its defensive sector has been working very well, having suffered on average only 0.25 goals per match. For this game the coach Ernesto Valverde should opt for the 4-4-2. We highlight G. Piqué and S. Umtiti in the defensive sector. The team’s teacher is still A. Iniesta. Also we emphasize in the front of attack L. Messi and L. Suárez, being that the main goleador of the equipment is penultimate, that is to say, the Argentinean Messi, with six goals marked in the competition. For this game the coach does not have Sergi Samper and Lucas Digne, both injured, and Sergio Busquets is in doubt. We also highlight Philippe Coutinho, who can not play for Barça in the Champions League this season.

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