Ajax – PAOK Prediction & Picks (13.08.2019)



Ajax and PAOK measure forces in Amsterdam ArenA, in a second leg for this phase of the UEFA Champions League (3rd Qualifying Round), after the tie for (2-2) in the first leg. The record of direct confrontations of the last 3 years is favorable to the home team, which in the last 4 matches won 2 and drew 2. Attention to the home factor, since Ajax usually conquers different results at home and abroad.

Ajax :

The home team comes to this second leg in advantage, after the draw away by (2-2) in the first leg, so a draw may be enough to get the qualification. This is a team that curiously has been stronger as a visitor than in their home games, since in the last 30 matches it records 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses as a visitor; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in his stadium. In the last match he played, for Eredivisie, he won Emmen at home by (5-0). In its last 10 home games, Ajax records 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. The team allowed goals to the opponent in 8 of the last 10 games, so his defense needs to improve, but his attack has scored regularly, as he always scored at least one goal in the last 10 games. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 57 of their last 62 matches have ended with Over 1.5 goals and 47 out of 62 have ended with Over 2.5 goals. In 15 games, he got the comeback in 2 of the 6 games in which he suffered the first goal.

Ajax comes to this match after a 5-0 victory against Emmen, for the Dutch championship. In the first leg, against PAOK, the Dutch achieved an important 2-2 draw: Huntelaar and Giannoulis (own goal) scored the goals. In this match at his stadium, coach Erik ten Hag should favor the maintenance of ball possession and organized attacks, with the aim of not offering space to his rival. Hypothetically, we will see this team lined up in 4-3-3: Tadic and Ziyech should form the team’s wings. Out of this game will be Labyad, Eiting and Bandé, all with physical problems.


The away team comes to this second leg at a disadvantage, because despite the draw in the first leg they suffered 2 goals at home. This is a team that presents similar results at home and abroad, so it is not usually affected by the home factor, since in the last 30 matches it records 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses as a visitor; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss at his stadium. In its last 10 away games, PAOK records 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss. His attack has scored regularly, as he scored goals in 9 of the last 10 games.

PAOK arrives for this match after a 2-2 draw with Ajax, in a first leg of the third round of the Champions League: the team’s goals were scored by Léo Matos and Akpom. In this second match against Ajax, a very difficult team to face at home, coach Abel Ferreira must benefit a medium or low block and counterattacks, making the best use of the space in the opponent’s back. Midfielder Omar El Kaddouri is the one responsible for creating and organizing the offensive process. For this match, the coach cannot count on Vieirinha, Maurício and Wernbloom, all injured.

Prediction Related Bets:

Ajax win1.363-110.00BTS / YES1.75

© Andrey

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