I go with a very good place, Antalyaspor and against a Besiktas that does not just work outside the home, covering me in case of a visitor’s victory by the minimum with a void. The pick consists precisely in that, green if there is victory or a local tie, null if there is a visitor victory for the minimum and red if Besiktas wins by two or more goals difference.
Antalyaspor occupies the 15th place of 18 teams (being Besiktas 4th, this is where you can come from, so it’s the visitor’s favoritism, but it’s just the general classification, the subject is equal with some of the locals and the other ones of the visitor), has achieved 17 points in 17 days with a balance of 4V 5E 8D, has scored 19 goals with an average of 1.1 goals per game and has conceded 31 goals with an average of 1.8 goals per game. He comes from winning his last game at home, after a losing streak of 3 losses in his last 5 games.
As a local climbs up to 10th place, he has scored 15 points in 9 matches (of the 17 that he has, he has only achieved 2 points at home) with a balance of 4V 2D, has scored 15 goals with an average of 1.6 goals per game and has conceded 11 goals with an average of 1.2 goals per game, much improvement both offensively and defensively when playing at home. He comes from winning at home, and in his last 5 games we only find 1 loss, against Fenerbahce, 3rd place and best visitor in the league, the rest 1 draw and 3 wins.
Besiktas occupies the 4th place, has achieved 30 points in 17 days with a balance of 8V 6E 3D, has scored 29 goals with an average of 1.7 goals per game and has conceded 16 goals with an average of 0.9 goals per game. He comes from losing his last game by cutting a good streak of 4 consecutive games scoring.
As a visitor, he only drops one place, but things change, he is 5th with 12 points in 9 matches, with a balance of 3V 3E 3D, he has scored 12 goals with an average of 1.3 goals per game and has conceded 11 goals with an average of 1.2 goals per game, offensively loses potential and defensively too. He comes from a 3-game losing streak, the last with defeat, against teams at a level at home very similar to his opponent today, even Yeni Malatyaspor is below the level of Antalyaspor at home.
Match that I like for the excessive favoritism to the visitors that gives option to cover the defeat for the minimum with a null, Besiktas of its 17 games, only in 5 has managed to win by two goals or more difference, 3 at home and 2 as a visitor. I do not think it will be at Antalyaspor’s house where he gets his 6th win. In their last showdown at Antalyaspor’s home, in March of last year, the result was 0 to 0.
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