Valencia – Gijon Prediction & Preview and Betting Tips (11.03.2017)

Prediction for Valencia – Gijon

Win Valencia and less than 4.5 goals @ 1.83

Party of the 1st Division of Spain that faces Valencia and Sporting de Gijon.
Bet on “Win Valencia and less than 4.5 goals”.

Valencia

Valencia come to this game after making, once again, a bad match in the league. Those of Voro continue giving one of lime and another sand in the league parties. While the results are clearly better than during much of the season (since January he has 5V-2E-4D, 11 goals in favor and 14 goals against), his football is not that it is especially better, being 3 of his 5 victories By the minimum. It is clear that we find another Valencia. Until January, the team only had 3 victories. The problem is that the team does not just have the regularity that can be expected from the players of a club like Valencia.

For me the key is his rival. Sporting Gijon is, in every possible way, worse than Valencia. He is 19th and has only 17 points (27GF-55GC), his numbers being 1V-3E-9D away (10GF-25GC). Valencia as a local is where the best face is showing. We saw how he gave a warning to Real Madrid and, of the 5 victories that he has obtained in 2017, 4 have been like local. Their defeat went before the Eibar, by 0-4, in a party clearly marked by the expulsion + penalti at the end of the first part, when the party went 0-1. Although the reality is that even before the expulsion, Valencia was doing a bad game, being much closer to 0-2 than the draw.

Away from home Sporting have only been able to beat Leganés (0-2), being drawn to Alavés, Granada and Betis (all three 0-0). Before Alaves and Betis the chances were clearly for the locals, while against Granada the thing was more even. As we can see, the key is that Sporting is a very weak team and that Valencia, with little, should be able to win.

Gijon

Maybe something high to be this Valencia but his rival makes me trust the Voro.
It is true that, while Valencia is practically saved, Sporting will play it in every game. However, Valencia have the need to continue to give a good image (something they would not achieve not winning a team that is in the downhill zone with only 17 points), and also the pressure that has the Sporting together the poor quality as a whole, They should decant the balance clearly in favor of Valencia.

I go with this bet because, in case of victory, I doubt that we will see 5 or more goals. Valencia do not have as much goal and Sporting have only conceded 3 goals or more away from home against Atletico Madrid, Malaga and Barcelona. This bet would have been red only against Malaga (3-2) and Barcelona (6-1). That is, the usual thing is that, if Valencia wins, as it is now, in a game with 2-3 goals and maybe with a set marker.

I would go with the Asian Handicap -1.5 (which is in all the houses between 2.1-2.3) but I do not just trust this Valencia, so I prefer to secure the victory simple but with a higher share than Offers us Betfair.