Prediction for Sevilla – Osasuna
Under 4.00 goals @ 1.96
Party of the Day 38 of the Santander League that will face the Sevilla F.C of Jorge Sampaoli, in front of the C.A. Osasuna by Petar Vasiljevic at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán stadium.
On the one hand comes Sevilla, 4th place with 69 points, of which he has 43 in his stadium (62.3%). It has been a season in which they have gone from more to less. They started as a shot, ranking 2nd in their Champions League group, fighting to be leaders in the league, and also agreeing that none of the 3 “big” were doing their best season in the League, they even had real aspirations to win the league title. But after starting to tell the media that they were going for the League, everything went to waste. Eliminated in champions, and a poor streak, which made them move from struggling to win the league, to almost losing the 4th place in Champions even.
On the other hand comes the Osasuna, 19th in the table with 22 points, having got 9 playing as a visitor (40.9%). A similar thing, but totally contrary happened to Osasuna. It never finished to start, neither with Martin Monreal, nor with Caparrós, nor with the arrival of Petar. They have spent all season in downhill positions, and more than half, I think, as colistas. And it turned out that when they practically assumed their descent, they deployed their best football, and came some victories, and ties, that they were not expecting anything anymore.
It is clear that Sevilla is very favorite for this match, but honestly, I find this level of favoritism to be too exaggerated, such as to put the handicap at -2.5 or the goal line at 3.5 / 4.0.
But I find more value to the goal line. Why? Because I hope that Osasuna will not be able to score a goal, or at most mark one, in addition to that Sevilla is not in his best scorer, so I do not expect to score more than 2 goals, or at most 3 That is to say, I expect a victory of Sevilla, as for example a 2-0 / 2-1 / 3-0, or even a 3-1, but no more.
The goals scored by both teams (home / away) are as follows:
– Sevilla (Local) —> 1.9 (own) // 2.8 (total)
– Osasuna (Visitor) —> 0.9 (own) // 3.7 (total)
As for the occasions that there have been 5 or more goals by each team (local / visitor), are the following:
– Sevilla —> 3 Over / 15 Under / 0 void
– Osasuna —> 6 Over / 10 Under / 2 void
TOTAL: 9/25 = 73.5%
As we can see, and it is totally logical, the statistics are very much in our favor, because they are comparing to Sevilla, with a Real Madrid, or Barca at the scorer level, and are not even close. And although Osasuna can score some goal, and does not have the very best defense, they have not made bad matches when they have visited complicated fields.
In addition, Sergio León, the top scorer of Osasuna, can not be in the Pizjuan by accumulation of cards. For what one of the maximum dangers that would have to worry the seamount Sevilla, they will not have to take it into account.
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