Real Sociedad – Malaga Prediction & Preview and Betting Tips (14.05.2017)

Prediction for Real Sociedad – Malaga

Under 3.0 goals @ 1.81

Match of the Day 37 of the Santander League that will face the Real Society of Eusebio Sacristán, in front of the Malaga Cf of Michel González in the stage of Anoeta.

Real Sociedad

On the one hand comes the Real Sociedad, 7th classified with 62 points, of which has won 34 in its stadium (54.8%). Quite decent the season of the Donostiarras, especially very regular (except for a small gust at the end of March and early April). Right now it is 1 point from Villarreal (5th) and tied to points with Athletic (6th), so in these last two days will decide everything. Remember that in addition to the fact that in the 7th place there is the risk of not going to Europe (if Alavés wins the cup), it would also be obliged to pass 2 previous phases, which means that it entails. So I expect a Real Society, which is playing a lot.

Malaga

On the other hand comes the Malaga, 11th in the table with 45 points, having got 13 playing as a visitor (28.9%). He has been a very irregular team throughout the season, moments in which he played well and did not win, moments in which he played nothing, but did not get bad results, and now he is in a good moment, both games and Results, but it also has to be said that far from Rosaleda, the only two matches Michel has won, it was precisely against Sporting, and Granada, two of the most feasible opponents to visit. So that improvement of which I speak, apart from relying too much on Sandro, has mostly been as Local, and not so much as Visitor.

I expect a match dominated by Real Sociedad and where I should win, but I do not trust Malaga too much, since as I said it is at a good time, and Real despite having shown some reliability in Anoeta, Can fail when it is least expected, as in the 1-1 draw that gave way to Leganés.

That’s why we are going to focus on goals, which is a market where I think they have not quite hit the line in 3.0. Neither team is known for its scoring side nor for its defensive weakness. Both teams have been based on scoring few goals, and defend their goal to get points, and proof of that are their socks.

The goals scored by both teams (home / away) are as follows:
– Real Sociedad (Local) —> 1.6 (own) // 2.8 (total)

As we can see, Málaga does not reach 1 goal per game, while Real Sociedad, barely receives more than 1 goal per game. In addition, Malaga have only scored 3 goals in the last 6 games, precisely by marking them Sporting and Granada, which as I said before are 2 of the 3 weakest teams in the category.

As for the occasions that there have been 3 or more goals by each team (local / visitor), are the following:
– Real Sociedad —> 6 Over / 9 Under / 3 Void
– Málaga —> 5 Over / 11 Under / 2 Void
TOTAL: 11/20 = 64.5%

We continue in the same line, the Malaga is a team totally under as a visitor, but it does not remain alone, since the Real also has a greater percentage of unders that overs.

As for the H2h, in the last 5 games played in Anoeta between both teams, also play in our favor, since in 3 occasions it would have been green, being those parties, the last 3, that is to say, the last 3 matches between both, Have finished with 2 or fewer goals. The matches ended with these results: 1-1 // 0-1 // 0-0 // 4-2 // 3-2.

As inconvenience we have the casualties of Zurutuza (Real Sociedad) by expulsion in his last match, and Ignacio Camacho (Málaga) for accumulation of cards. Both are key pieces in the center of the field of their team, and their absences could lead to a lack of control in the game and more times on the part of both teams of which we are accustomed.

And finally, to comment that another inconvenience, is the state of form of Sandro Ramirez, who has scored 7 goals in the last 7 games, but I hope he does not have his day and Real will be able to stop it. Or in case you check, there are not many more goals in the match.