Malaga – Sevilla Prediction & Picks (28.02.2018)

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MALAGA – SEVILLA FREE PICKS

Málaga and Sevilla meet at La Rosaleda Stadium, in a match for the 26 th round of the First Division. In the last direct confrontation for this edition of the league, on 09-30-2017, Sevilla won at home against (2-0). In this stadium, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which records 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. In fact, the last time these two teams played a match in this stadium was on 01-05-2017, in a match for the First Division that ended with the victory of Málaga by (4-2). The goals of the match were scored by Pablo Fornals (38 ‘), Sandro Ramírez (51’), Diego Llorente (77 ‘) and Juan Carlos (89’), for Málaga, and F. Vázquez (30 ‘and 57’), for Sevilla. In this game the home factor may be decisive, since both teams present considerable differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.

Málaga:

The home team is currently in the 20 th position of the league, with 13 points won, after 3 wins, 4 draws and 18 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost at home against Valencia (1-2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Athletic Club, by (2-1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 2 draws and 12 losses in away matches, with 7 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses at their stadium, with 13 goals scored and 22 suffered. In the last 10 home league matches Málaga has won 2, tied 3 and lost 5, for which they have won 9 points out of 30 possible.

For this competition, they have not won any of the last 6 home matches. The team has conceded goals to the opponent in 9 of the last 10 matches, so he has not presented great defensive solidity, and his attack needs to improve, as he has not scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 5 of the last 12 matches they played ended in Under 1,5 goals. This is a team that scores few times is primeiro and that only managed to open the scoring in 6 of its last 25 matches for the First Division, of these 6 came to rest in advantage in 4 and won at the end of the 90 ‘in 3. In 25 matches in this competition, he never got the comeback in the 17 games in which he suffered the first goal. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 12 home matches for this competition: they scored 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (76’-90 ‘).

Málaga sees its situation more and more complicated with each passing round, considering that it accumulates only three victories throughout this edition of the Spanish league and now comes from four consecutive defeats. The last of these was away from home, against Athletic Bilbao, in a balanced match, in which both teams finished a few times and although they opened the scoring, allowed the opponent to reach the comeback in the first half. The great problem of the team, as it is possible to confirm by the numbers of the competition, has been its offensive sector, which did not manage to remove the zero of the scoreboard on sixteen occasions and is now the worst in the championship. Playing in their dominions, the club conquered only 9 of the 36 points that disputed and in that condition it wrote down only 10 goals. It is likely that Gonzalez’s team goes to the field in 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1, but this time without the presence of forward En-Nesyri, who is serving a suspension.

Sevilla:

The away team is currently in the 6 th position of the league, with 39 points won, after 12 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Las Palmas, by (1-2). In the last match, they lost at home against Atlético Madrid by (2-5). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 31 conceded; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 19 conceded. For the championship, Sevilla won 9 points out of 30 possible, after 3 wins and 7 losses in the last 10 matches as a visitor. They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 25 matches in this competition, he only managed 2 comebacks in the 12 matches in which he suffered the first goal.

Sevilla enters the field with the hope of being able to win their second consecutive win as a visitor by the Spanish league and thus compensate for the setback that occurred on the last day, when they were defeated inside the home by Atlético de Madrid, in a match in the one that had a bad offensive action and also committed faults in the center of the field and in the defense, thus suffering his backhand against his fans. Taking into account the position that currently occupies, the offensive sector has not been acting in a very satisfactory manner, since it is among the ten worst in the competition. As a visitor, he conquered less than 40% of the points he played and in that condition he owns the third worst defense. The 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 must be the tactical formation adopted for this duel, without major absences in the starting lineup.


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