Malaga – Getafe Prediction & Picks (19.05.2018)

Málaga and Getafe meet at La Rosaleda Stadium, in a match for the 38th round of the Primera División. In the last direct confrontation for this edition of the league, on 01-01-2018, Getafe won at home against (1-0). The history of direct matches played in this stadium is favorable to the home team, which in the last 3 matches won 3. Indeed, the last time these two teams played a match in this stadium, on 05-02-2016, for the First Division, Málaga won by (3-0). J. Añor (9 ‘), C. Atsu (23’) and Charles (43 ‘) scored the goals for Málaga. Particular attention is required for the home / away condition, since both teams present significantly different results at home and abroad.

Málaga:

After 5 wins, 5 draws and 27 losses, the home team is currently in the 20 th position of the league, with 20 points won. In their last match, they lost with Espanyol out by (4-1), after in the previous match they lost by (0-3) at home, in a match against Deportivo Alavés. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 3 draws and 11 losses in away matches, with 10 goals scored and 23 conceded; against 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses at their stadium, with 8 goals scored and 18 conceded. For the championship, Málaga won 7 points out of 30 possible, after 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses in the last 10 matches they played in their stadium. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-1 (7 out of 18 matches). The team allowed goals to the opponent in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition, so it has not been very strong defensively. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 11 of the last 18 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. This is a team that usually scores a few times first: it only opened the scoring in 9 of its last 37 matches for the First Division, of these 9 it reached the break in advantage in 6 and won at the end of the 90 ‘in 5. In 37 matches in this tournament, suffered the first goal 25 times and never got the comeback. In the last 18 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (76’-90 ‘).

Málaga is doing a disastrous campaign in the Spanish Championship, is already downgraded and comes to this last round just to meet schedule, trying to finish the league with a victory, to give some joy to their fans, who suffered a lot this season. The local team presents great problems, both in the offensive and defensive sector, as they scored only 24 goals, being the worst attack of the national championship, and suffered 60 goals, with the third worst defense. These numbers help explain performance below what was expected. Playing at home, as in this Saturday’s game, Málaga lost 6 of the last 8 matches they played, has the second worst campaign at home and is the team that scored the least in this type of situation, creating few goal opportunities and even leaving many spaces in his defense. For the clash with Getafe, coach Jose Gonzalez will not be able to count on Miquel and midfielder Rosales, both on account of a suspension.

Getafe:

The away team is currently in the 8 th position of the league, with 52 points won, after 14 wins, 10 draws and 13 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Las Palmas, by (0-1). In the last match, they lost at home against Atlético Madrid by (0-1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 11 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 8 conceded. For the championship, Getafe won 14 points out of 30 possible, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 home matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half-time was 0-0 (8 out of 19 matches). Defensive consistency has not been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 12 of the last 18 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 37 matches in this competition, they only got 2 comebacks in the 16 matches in which they suffered the first goal. In the last 18 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 8 of their 20 goals between minutes (61’-75 ‘).

Getafe is making a reasonable campaign in the Spanish league, will end the competition in the top half of the standings and arrives at the latter game only to meet the calendar, since it has no chance of reaching the qualifying zone for the next Europa League. The visiting team is characterized by a somewhat inefficient attack, which scored only 41 goals and is the seventh worst in La Liga, while the defense, on the other hand, suffered only 33 goals and is the third best, being a team that creates few opportunities, but that is very solid defensively, where he leaves very few spaces, counting on help in the defensive marking of the midfielders and the laterals. The Getafe comes from 3 consecutive victories, in which suffered only one goal, so much that it has the third best defense in the condition of visitor, but on the other hand it is the third team that suffered fewer goals in this type of situation. For the game against Málaga, coach José Bordalás must repeat the starting eleven he had been using in recent days, as his injured athletes will not recover in time to be available for the farewell of the season.