Gijon – Espanyol Prediction & Preview and Betting Tips (25.04.2017)

Gijon-vs-Espanyol

Prediction for Gijon – Espanyol

Win Espanyol Handicap Asian 0 @ 2.35


Here is a very important value difference. We are going to take advantage of it because it will probably go down in the next few hours. Let’s go with the analysis!

Gijon

Matchday 34 of the League. It faces the Sporting of Gijón (19th) against Espanyol (9th).

Looking at the statistics, Sporting is by far the worst league team at home.
-) He started the season well (2 consecutive victories at Molinón, day 1 and 3. Since then it has been a disaster: He has won 2/14 games in his fiefdom (Victory odds at home = 14.28% / odds = 7) But look, if we look at trend data at home since 2017, the estimate is even worse: He has won 1/8 games at home (probability = 12.5% ​​/ share = 8).

0 In the worst case scenario, the possibility of recovering money would be:
(From day 3: 100 – 14.28 = 85.72% / share = 1.16)
0 If we set the data from 2017:
(100-12.5 = 87.5 / share = 1.14)
0 We calculate the chances of winning the bet with Sporting’s data at home:
Since day 3: He has lost 10/14 games at home (probability 71.42% / share = 1.4). POSITIVE VALUE DIFFERENCE WITH RESPECT TO THE FEE OF € 0.95. A real barbarity.

Espanyol

-) But this does not end here, the only team that has managed to beat Sporting at home in 2017 is Granada, the worst visiting team in the league with only 4 points in 17 games! It is the less, justifiable the sporting victory.
And if we go a little back (December 2016), the other team defeated is the Osasuna! They have not managed to win any team of a higher minimum level.

-) On the other hand, and again, looking at the statistics, Espanyol is one of the best teams in the league as a visitor. He started the day 1 losing as a visitor. Since then he has lost only 4 matches, against nothing more and nothing less than the best local teams (Barcelona, ​​Real Madrid, Villarreal and Athletic). The rest of the visitors’ games have scored or won solid victories.

As you have seen, we can justify certain matches of Sporting as a local and Espanyol as a visitor and increase much more! The difference of value with respect to the quota that we offer the bookmakers.

— FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS —

Here I will not extend too much that I have already bored you with so many numbers: D Sporting comes from tying with Osasuna B (the red team summoned about 7 players from the quarry, and even then, they managed to score 3 points with the They play badly and Espanyol is clearly superior.

Although there are interests of Sporting to be saved, Espanyol also have them, and will not pass up this opportunity to pressure the Real and fight for the 7th place.

Little more to say, good luck to whoever follows me and for the green!

© Andrey

Check out our VIP Prediction for Gijon – Espanyol!

About our PAID PICKS/VIP PREDICTIONSUnlock our VIP prediction for this game!







Your e-mail address