Prediction for Athletic Bilbao – Las Palmas
More than 3 cards in the second half @ 1.85
Match that opens the day 32 of the first division and will face in San Mamés Athletic Bilbao against Las Palmas.
Athletic Bilbao
– As local we have to Athletic that right now, with the victory of the R.Society yesterday against Sporting, are eighth in the table, outside the access posts to the Europa League and on Friday in this match will be played back to these Worthy posts. So the game has a very big importance for the local set.
Athletic has received about 2.6 cards / game in this league and with the importance of this meeting and that will have an offensive team and high quality players, I hope the locals contribute to this over with several cards.
In total this forecast would have been correct in 9 of the 16 games that have been played in San Mamés in this league.
– Then we have Las Palmas that is true, they are in no man’s land at the table, since they can not descend and have no options to play Europe next season.
But the islanders have the spine of being the second worst visitor in the league and away from home are a team that does not get good results, is quite tough and receives a lot of cards, have also been hard in their last matches in Which were in a similar situation to the current one commented.
There is tension in the visitors with the statements of Setién saying he will leave the bench at the end of the season and the problems outside sports have been several this season.
Away from home they have an average of about 3.6 cards received per game. Being the fifth team of all the league that more yellow has received outside its stadium.
In their last 5 away games in none they fell from the 6 yellows and in 4 of them this forecast was hit.
Las Palmas
In the second half of their last 5 away matches we have: Malaga 7 yellow and 1 red double yellow. Against the R.Madrid 6 yellow and 1 red direct. Against Spanish 6 yellow. Against the Celta 3 yellow. In the last against Eibar 6 yellow.
– The referee of the contest will be Estrada Fernández. This season this referee is leading the classification of collegiate that more cards have taken. Taking into account the 6 red cards he has pulled out this season, his average card goes up to 7.4 cards per game.
He comes to show in the second part of his last matches: 4 yellows in Alavés – Osasuna, 5 yellows in Sporting – Granada, 8 yellows plus an expulsion by double yellow in the Eibar – Malaga and 6 yellows and a red direct in the Leganés – Sporting.
He has had many games with a lot of cards in the second parts, like the Betis – Leganés with 5 yellows in the second part. In the Real Sociedad – Valencia 9 yellow cards plus an expulsion by double yellow. In the Atletico Madrid-Málaga 9 yellow and 2 ejections by double yellow …
In total Estrada has 15 games refereed this season and in 11 of them showed at least 4 cards in the second parts.
However I think we have to prove this forecast with stake 1.
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