Sport Recife – Gremio Prediction & Picks (13.06.2018)

Sport Recife and Grêmio meet at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, in a match for the 12 th round of Serie A. In this stadium, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which records 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 4 matches. In fact, the last time these two teams played a match at this stadium was on 28-05-2017, in a match for Serie A that ended with Sport Recife’s victory by (4-3). The goals of the match were scored by André (34 ‘, 74’ and 84 ‘) and Matheus Ferraz (64’), for Sport Recife, and Fernandinho (5 ‘and 87’) and Rafael Thyere (17 ‘), for Grêmio . In this match the home factor may be decisive, since Sport Recife has considerable differences in their results at home and as visitors.

Sport Recife:

The home team is currently in the 7 th position of the league, with 18 points won, after 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Atlético PR, by (1-0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Vasco da Gama, by (3-2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 11 victories and 4 draws in his stadium. For the championship, Sport Recife won 11 points out of 15 possible, after 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches played at their stadium.

For this competition, he does not lose in his stadium 5 matches ago. They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 11 matches in the competition, they suffered the first goal 5 times and only managed 1 comeback. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 14 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 4 of their 8 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).

Sport Recife is a club with little tradition in terms of conquering titles in Brazilian football, since throughout its history it conquered only once the Serie A of the Brazilian championship, a title that it conquered in the distant year of 1987 and that until today generates a lot of controversy. In the Pernambuco championship this year, the team stayed in third place, as it was eliminated in the semifinal and won 3-0 at Sauce in the dispute for the third position. In the Serie A of the Brazilian championship of 2018, the team has tried to stay among the first classified of the table, being at this time among the top six classified. In the last five games that Sport played in their stadium for the Brazilian championship, in four they scored less than 3.5 goals. We believe that in this match the boss will be maintained, since Sport will play against a team with a very solid defense.

Grêmio:

After 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, the away team is currently in the 4 th position, with 19 points won. In the last match, they have won at home against América Mineiro by (1-0), after in the previous match they lost at home, against Palmeiras, by (0-2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches he has 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses as a visitor. against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss at their stadium. In the last away game for this competition won by (0-2) against Bahia. In the last 5 away league matches Grêmio has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, so they have won 10 points out of 15 possible. The defense has been strong and only suffered goals in 3 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 49 of the last 75 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 20 away matches for all competitions: they have suffered 7 of their 17 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).

The Gremio is a club full of titles, considered one of the biggest clubs in Brazil, which twice conquered the Brazilian championship of Serie A, the last of them in 1996, is five-time champion of the Brazilian Cup, thirty-seven Champion Gaucho times and has many other titles. He recently won his third Copa Libertadores and was runner-up in the FIFA Club World Cup in 2018, losing in the final 1-0 against Real Madrid. This season, he was the gaúcho champion of 2018 and in the Brazilian championship of Serie A he is in fourth place in the table. When analyzing his games in the status of visitor, we see that he has played matches with few goals, because in the five games away from home, in four there were less than 2.5 goals, so we believe that this pattern will be repeated.