Southampton – Derby Prediction & Picks (16.01.2019)

soccer-predictions

Southampton – Derby SOCCER PICKS

Southampton and Derby County meet at St. Mary’s Stadium, in a return match for this phase of the FA Cup (3rd Round Replays), after a (2-2) draw in the first leg. There is only record of 2 recent direct matches between these two teams: on 05-01-2019, which ended with a draw by (2-2), and on 21-07-2018, which ended with the Derby County victory by ( 3-0). In this game the home factor may be decisive, since Southampton presents considerable differences in their results at home and as a visitor.

Southampton:

The home team comes to this game back in advantage, after a draw as a visitor by (2-2), so it is enough a draw for less than 2 goals to confirm the qualification to the next phase. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses at their stadium. In the last match that they disputed for the Premier League, they beat Leicester City by (1-2). In the last 10 home matches Southampton has a record of 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses. The team has conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, so their defense needs to improve, but their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In 15 games, he suffered the first goal 4 times and never got the comeback.

Southampton arrive at this game motivated, after a 2-1 victory in the Leicester field trip, returning to the triumphs after four straight games without beating: the team’s goals were scored by Ward-Prowse and Long. In this round of playoff, against Derby County, we believe that the local team will act in a 3-4-3, in which the three most advanced pieces will be Long, Redmond and Armstrong. One of the weaknesses of the premises is the inability that shows when finalizing the goal opportunities created, being that most of the time they fail to give a good response. The trainer Ralph Hasenhüttl will not be able to count on Obafemi and Danny Ings, to be injured.

Derby County:

The away team comes to this second leg at a disadvantage, because despite the draw in the first leg suffered 2 goals at home. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 25 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 17 suffered. In the last match that they disputed, for the Championship, they lost with Leeds United out by (2-0). In the last 10 away matches Derby County has won 4, tied 2 and lost 4. They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In 15 games, he only managed 3 comebacks in the 10 games in which he suffered the first goal.

The Derby County comes to this unmotivated day, after a foreign snub, by 2-0, in the displacement to the field of Leeds, in a game for the English second division. It should be noted that the visitors added only 3 wins in the last 10 matches played. The visiting team usually acts in a tactical system in 4-2-3-1, privileging fast transitions, mainly through the wings: the number 10 Lawrence is a very fast and strong player in the offensive transition. Striker Jack Marriott is the best score of Derby County in all competitions, with 10 goals scored. The visiting coach can not count on Davis, Olsson and Forsyth, all injured.


© Andrey